Currently $BTC is fluctuating narrowly between 74,500 and 74,800. Many people are shouting "It won't fall anymore, it's about to reverse," but remember these three core logics:



The so-called "iron bottom" has always been a trap of market consensus. The last bear market's consensus on bottoming out at 6,000 and 30,000 was ultimately broken through by liquidity.

Low-volume oscillation does not equal trend reversal. Currently, the 15-minute cycle is still in a weak recovery after a decline; before a volume breakout at the resistance level of 75,000-75,500, all rebounds are speculative.

The premise of bottom fishing is not "it can't go down," but that the risk is controllable: only act when a sharp decline stabilizes and volume breaks through a high-confidence point, starting with a 10% position, avoiding holding large positions or going all-in.

Follow the trend, slow is fast #RAVE
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