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Just noticed something wild in the markets right now. Gold has absolutely dominated everything else this year. Up 64% in 2025 alone, and we're already looking at another 18% gain just four months into 2026. Meanwhile the S&P 500 is barely breathing, sitting at just 1% for the year. The gap is pretty ridiculous.
Obviously people are getting serious about precious metals as a hedge. Between government spending spiraling out of control, the national debt hitting 38 trillion, and all the economic uncertainty floating around, it makes sense why investors are moving into gold. The money supply expansion story is real, and honestly it's hard to argue with the logic.
Here's the thing though. Gold has this reputation going back thousands of years as a store of value, and there's a reason for that. It's incredibly scarce. Only about 220,000 tons have ever been mined in human history, compared to billions of tons of other commodities. Even silver is way more abundant. That scarcity is a big part of why central banks and governments keep buying it. Back when the U.S. was on the gold standard until 1971, you couldn't print money without having physical gold to back it. Once we abandoned that, money printing went crazy and the dollar lost around 90% of its purchasing power. Gold, meanwhile, just kept climbing in dollar terms.
So is it too late to buy gold at these levels? I'd say not necessarily, but you've got to be realistic about what's coming next. Over the last 30 years, gold has averaged about 8% annual returns. The gains we've seen in the past year aren't going to keep happening at that pace. But the U.S. government is looking at another trillion-dollar deficit this year, so the money supply fears aren't disappearing anytime soon.
The funny part is when you look at the long game. The S&P 500 has crushed gold over 30 years with 10.7% average annual returns. So while gold is winning right now, stocks have historically been the better bet over decades. Ray Dalio, who knows a thing or two about hedging, suggested people put up to 15% of their portfolio in gold. Paul Tudor Jones also just loaded up on gold. They're probably onto something about the current situation, but that doesn't mean you abandon stocks entirely.
If you're thinking about adding gold exposure, the easiest way for most people is through an ETF like the SPDR Gold Shares. No storage headaches, no insurance costs, just buy and sell like any other stock. Yeah, there's a 0.4% annual fee, so on 10k you'd pay 40 bucks a year, but that's still cheaper than dealing with physical bullion.
Bottom line: too late to buy gold? The better question is whether gold should be part of a balanced portfolio right now. Probably yes, especially given everything happening with government finances. But if you're thinking this is going to outperform stocks forever, history suggests that's not how it works. Diversification is still king. Plenty of interesting opportunities across different asset classes if you know where to look, including some solid holdings on Gate if you're exploring gold and related plays.