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【Brother Tong's Public Thinking】
Current price: about 74,800, within the narrow range of 74,000–75,500 sideways consolidation
Structure: 4-hour level forms an ascending triangle continuation pattern, the previous upward trend is intact, currently a volume-contraction correction after a spike, no signs of top formation
Volume: volume increased during the surge confirming bullish momentum, current pullback phase volume continues to shrink, a typical upward consolidation shakeout, funds have not escaped
Indicators: 4-hour RSI at 55, neutral leaning slightly bullish, not in overbought zone; short-term moving averages are in a bullish alignment, the key support at 73,500 remains unbroken $BTC
Core bullish support:
Uptrend remains intact, the main upward structure from the 60k point rebound is complete, sideways movement is just building strength, not a reversal
The 74,000 range has sufficient support, multiple dips quickly stabilize, buying interest has not disappeared
US tech stocks continue to strengthen, risk appetite is rising, crypto market follow-up rally expectations are still suppressed by bears:
The 76,000 integer level has very strong Gamma resistance, difficult to break through without volume expansion
During sideways consolidation, bullish momentum has weakened, short-term technical correction may be needed
Main strategy: buy on dips
Entry zone: 74,000–74,500, buy on dips and stabilize in batches
Stop loss: 73,600 (break below the lower edge of the ascending triangle, bullish structure invalidated, unconditional exit)
First target: 75,500–75,800 (resistance at previous high, reduce positions and take profit)
Second target: 76,300 (volume breakout of previous high, expect continuation)
Auxiliary strategy: high-altitude shorting (light positions for trial)
Entry zone: 75,500–75,800, lightly short on resistance
Stop loss: 76,000 (breakthrough of strong resistance, stop short)
Target: 74,800–74,500 (quick in and out, no emotional attachment)