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Recently, when practicing placing orders, I kept getting caught by "on-chain data": seeing an address just bought something and wanting to adjust the inventory, only to realize after a while that the transaction actually happened much earlier... Basically, what you see is just the perspective from a certain node/RPC; if the queuing, rate limiting, or indexing haven't kept up, it turns the "on-chain" into an "off-chain replay." So now I trust my own set of methods more: don't get carried away by a couple of fresh pushes, slowly move the inventory, and keep the curve steady first.
By the way, the wave of social mining and fan tokens also seems similar: everyone is fighting for "attention," but when the data source is delayed, emotions get amplified, and in the end, it’s like mining air... I don’t know if it’s a false proposition, but I’d rather treat it as more noise anyway.
As for what I mean by "long-term," it’s not a grand narrative of a year, more like a quarter, enough for me to run through a set of parameters and review a few rounds, instead of being led by the "latest on-chain" every day. That’s all for now.