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Just stumbled on something interesting about how to position for potential rate increases. There's this Fidelity dividend ETF (FDRR) that's specifically designed around rising interest rates, but here's the thing—it actually works even if rates go sideways.
So the Fed held rates steady again, which obviously disappointed a lot of people betting on cuts. But let's flip the script for a second. What if the macro environment shifts and rates actually start climbing? That's where an ETF for rising interest rates becomes relevant.
The Fidelity fund has been around since 2016, so we've got real data. It went through the entire 2022-2023 tightening cycle—that's 11 rate hikes—and it was genuinely one of the best-performing dividend ETFs during that stretch. Only a handful of competitors beat it, which is pretty solid.
What caught my attention though is how different this rising interest rate strategy is compared to typical dividend funds. Most dividend ETFs are loaded with REITs and utilities because of yield, right? This one? Only 4.1% in those sectors. Instead, it's got about 32% in tech—basically matching the S&P 500's tech weight, but way above what you'd normally see in dividend funds.
The logic is solid: mega-cap tech companies that qualify for this ETF have strong balance sheets and cash positions, which actually perform better when rates rise. They're not capital-intensive like utilities. So the ETF for rising interest rates ends up being tech-heavy by design, not accident.
The fund is $660 million in assets, follows an index designed to pick dividend payers with positive correlation to 10-year Treasury yields, and charges just 0.15% annually. Pretty straightforward approach.
Obviously, the real question is whether rates actually climb from here. But what's interesting is this fund doesn't need that to happen. It's delivered solid returns even through the easy-money years. So it works as both a rate-rise hedge and a decent dividend play on its own. Worth looking into if you're thinking about rising interest rate scenarios for 2026.