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$TAO 🔥 Don't wait for a V-shaped reversal anymore! The core truth behind TAO's 6-day decline without rebound
Recently, everyone has been asking why TAO hasn't rebounded along with BTC. Let me clarify today: this is not an ordinary technical correction; it's a fundamental collapse at the level of narrative breakdown, with almost zero probability of a V-shaped reversal.
1. This time, the engine has been directly dismantled
Covenant AI is not a fringe team; it is the only core driver behind TAO's surge from 200 to 374 in March. Covenant-72B is the only model in the entire Bittensor ecosystem publicly praised by Jensen Huang, directly supporting the valuation premium of the "Decentralized AI First Chain."
Now, the core team has collectively left with technology, talent, and community consensus, even openly tearing apart with the project team, accusing each other of "betrayal" and "centralization show." The decentralized belief TAO relies on for survival has been thoroughly shattered by its own people.
Even more deadly, the negative news continues to unfold: as of yesterday, some core developers are still dumping large amounts, and the project team has only offered a vague "locked staking" plan, with no substantial technical or governance reforms to restore confidence.
2. The technical chart has completely broken down; the downtrend is irreversible
Look at the daily chart as solid evidence:
- EMA7(257) has crossed below EMA25(276) and EMA99(258), forming a classic death cross
- MACD green bars continue to enlarge, indicating that bearish momentum is far from exhausted
- RSI6=28.28 is indeed oversold, but remember: in a downtrend, oversold conditions can persist for 1-2 weeks, and are never a bottom-fishing signal
3. The capital side has completely gone flat; no big funds are willing to buy in
On April 10th, there was a single-day liquidation of $9.1 million long positions, and now there are massive amounts of trapped chips in the $280-$340 range. Any rebound will be directly crushed by panic-driven short covering.
Looking at recent trading volume, it’s shrinking day by day, indicating that institutional funds are not entering to buy the dip; it’s just retail traders fighting each other with flying knives.
Finally, a word: stop fooling yourself with "bad news is good news." This time, the negative news is a serious blow. Without disruptive positive catalysts, TAO can never return to its previous valuation system.