Today I saw someone say that those on-chain "coincidental transfers" look like cryptic signals... I usually don't believe in coincidences first, so I analyze the path: where the money enters, which pool it swaps in, who caused the sudden increase in slippage, and which address group it ends up in. Many "mysterious transfers" are actually just due to low liquidity, forcing rerouting and order splitting, with MEV sniping along the way, making it look like someone is setting a trap.

Recently, everyone has been complaining that miners/validators are taking too much and that the ordering is unfair. Basically, the "coincidences" you see on DEXs are half written by others in advance... Anyway, when I spot abnormal transactions now, I first check the depth and slippage curves, otherwise it's easy to get carried away with overthinking.