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Why are prices rising? Because the worst-case scenario hasn't happened!
Many people ask:
Why is the market still rising while there are blockades?
The answer is simple:
—Because things haven't turned worse.
The market's logic has never been "rise only on good news," but rather:
"Rise when bad news no longer worsens."
This is called expectation correction.
Will Iran make concessions?
A more likely scenario is:
✔ not fully conceding,
✔ but "cooperating to cool down."
This ambiguous space is exactly what the market prefers, because it can be continuously hyped.
What about the rebound potential?
As long as the situation doesn't escalate, the rebound can continue;
Once an unexpected event occurs, the pullback will be very quick.
Investment suggestions:
✔ Crypto: Short-term bullish, suitable for swing trading
✔ Crude Oil: Trend is there, but risks are rising in tandem
✔ Gold: Hold your position, don't sell everything
In summary:
This rally is because "things are not worse," not because "things have really improved." #加密市场回升