I just saw on Polymarket that there is an event related to the U.S. government with a trading volume of nearly $3 million. The level of interest is quite high, which is surprising because this is purely a political issue. According to current data, the probability of a certain scenario around mid-February has risen to 97% — this number truly reflects the market's confidence in the likelihood of the event occurring. The meaning of 97 here is that the market assesses this possibility as very high, almost certain.

Additionally, the White House is making every last effort to prevent it, even sending proposals to opposition members. But according to news, those individuals are expected to reject them, saying that the proposals are not sufficiently complete. The situation is quite tense, and the market seems to have priced in the worst-case scenario.