I took a look at the CME FedWatch data from these days, and the situation on interest rates is quite clear. In April, the probability of a hike is practically zero, only 1.6%, while 98.4% of scenarios point to holding rates steady. Looking further ahead, by June, the probabilities remain fairly stable: no chance of cuts (0%), 97.9% see rates staying unchanged, and only 2.1% consider a cumulative increase of 25 basis points. In short, the Fed seems intent on staying put for now. Markets are pricing this scenario with very high probability, so we shouldn't expect surprises in the coming months.

View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pin