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✅4/15 Bitcoin Evening Analysis and Fulfillment
1. Market Prediction Was Precisely Correct
Prediction: Bitcoin's surge to 76k was driven by forced liquidations of short positions, causing a one-time rise. The top is likely to quickly turn into a "mountaintop," so blindly chasing highs is prohibited. The main strategy is to go short at high levels.
Fact: The price peaked at 76,038 and then fell back. Currently, the price is 74,333, dropping over 1,700 points from the high, perfectly confirming the judgment that "buying dries up after forced liquidations, and the price falls back from high levels."
2. The High-Short Strategy Range Fully Fulfilled
Entry 1: Short in the 75,800-76,000 range. The price touched 76,038, just triggering at the edge of the entry zone, then continued to fall to the 74,000+ range.
Target 1: First target 75,000, second target 74,500, both fully achieved. The current price is 74,333, having broken below the second target, so the profit from the short strategy is fully realized.
3. The Low-Long Support Effectively Validated
The 74,000-74,200 range is supported by the lower Bollinger Band and previous oscillation pivot, providing double support. After falling to 73,795, the price stabilized and rebounded, forming effective support above 74,000. The logic of buying on dips is valid.
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