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Actually, everyone understands that those "coincidental transfers" on the chain are mostly not coincidences; it's just that the paths are hidden more neatly. Today I came across an address, received a payment that looked like a mistaken transfer from a passerby, and then followed the trail: CEX mentioned a new wallet → transferred in two steps across bridges → exchanged for stablecoins on a DEX → then split into several small amounts flowing back to the old wallet. The whole process is like a washing machine cycle, and the traces are quite "clean."
As someone who looks like a degenerate on the outside, I get itchy when I see this and want to chase after it, but my ledger is crystal clear: first, draw out the path; if it can be explained, don’t touch it; if it can’t be explained, don’t touch it either...
Airdrop season + task platforms' anti-witchcraft tactics have made everyone compete as if they’re going to work, and the more they compete, the more they love to pretend it's all "coincidence."
Anyway, I’d rather miss out now than be seen as a background actor in some plot.