Today is Friday, and with the release of CPI data and major events like US-Iran negotiations, the market is expected to be quite volatile today.



Getting to the main point, let's review the news summary and my personal analysis:
1. Regarding US-Iran negotiations: I personally hold a pessimistic view, believing that substantial results are unlikely, and ultimately it may lead to conflict. Whether it's Iran's nuclear issue, Strait tolls, or accusations related to terrorism, these core conflicts need resolution. Even if the US makes concessions, Israel will definitely not agree. Considering Israel as a high-tech R&D hub closely tied to the US tech industry, until strategic goals are achieved, Trump's statements may not be decisive.

2. Regarding geopolitical economy: High oil prices, oil production halts, and transportation crises are accelerating global economic instability, and the world urgently needs a stable Middle East situation.

3. Regarding market trend: Last night's rally was mainly driven by some ETF funds buying Bitcoin assets, but the price still failed to break through the 73,800 level effectively. The current downward channel has not yet changed.

4. Regarding macro crisis: The real crisis has not been resolved; the US stagflation crisis is the next major focus.

Trading strategy
The old saying still applies: the key level above is 73,000. Once it is effectively broken, the target is 70,000.
For short-term long positions, pay attention to resistance levels, set stop-losses properly, and use trailing stops. You can operate with confidence. As long as you reasonably control your position, keep your hands steady, and stay patient, you can find profit opportunities even in emotional markets.
#美伊停火协议谈判再生变故 #BTC
BTC2.72%
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