11 suspected insider addresses profited nearly $2 million by successfully predicting the "U.S.-Iran ceasefire" timing

ZkProver · 2026-04-08T09:16:15+00:00

In the "U.S.-Iran Ceasefire" prediction market on Polymarket, at least 11 addresses profited over $1.91 million. Among them, address 0xffa6b3...30fe made approximately $405k, and 0xa4eb52...d010 earned $339k. Trading was concentrated on ceasefire positions expiring between March and April, with some early losses turning into significant profits later.

ZkProver

2026-04-08 09:16:15

Abstract generation in progress

ChainCatcher message, according to statistics from Polybeats, at least 11 addresses profited on Polymarket in the “U.S.-Iran ceasefire” series prediction markets through trading timing. The highest-earning address 0xffa6b3…30fe earned about $405k, while 0xa4eb52…d010 earned about $339k.

All addresses combined generated total profits of $1,913,292.47. These trades were concentrated in multiple ceasefire time-limit order books expiring between March and April. Some early positions that bet on the March ceasefire had shown losses, but as the ceasefire expectations for early April were realized, later positions saw a sharp increase in profits.

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