According to Lookonchain monitoring, four suspected insiders have bet on a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran to be reached on April 7, earning $663k. Most of these wallets share the following characteristics: created and funded on April 7; bought "yes" only a few hours before the ceasefire; no prior activity records—only betting on this event; entered at very low odds: 3.9%, 10.3%, 6.7%, and 2.9%.

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