4.8 Big Bet Public Outlook

Core Message: In the early hours of April 8, Iran accepted a ceasefire proposal. The US and Iran confirmed a two-week ceasefire and the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Negotiations will begin on April 10. As risk-aversion sentiment fades, risk appetite rebounds, and BTC surged to $72,743 in the early session before pulling back.
Current Trend: Ranging between 71,000–71,500, oscillating; after a positive-news spike, profits are digested.
Today’s Key Ranges (News Section)
Heavy Resistance: 72,500 (The high of today’s spike-and-drop; long positions grow exhausted)
Support: 70,500–71,000
Breakthrough: Break below 70,000 → Quickly look toward 68,500–69,000
Trading Strategy (News-Driven)
1. Mainly take shorts
Try shorts in the 72,000–72,500 range, stop loss at 73,000
Targets: 71,000 → 70,500 → 69,500
Logic: Good news is already fully priced in; price spikes then falls back; chasing entries unwind—profits taken and shorts escape
2. Supplement with longs at lower levels
Pull back to 70,500–71,000, then after it stabilizes, go long again
Stop loss at 70,000, target near 72,000
Don’t chase price; just wait for the pullback
There are still uncertainties in the news: negotiations have not started, and Iran’s stance keeps changing #国际油价走高 $BTC