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Just been scrolling through some interesting market weakness and spotted a pattern that's hard to ignore. We're seeing AI and tech stocks getting absolutely hammered, but here's the thing—the fundamentals underneath are actually getting stronger, not weaker.
Let me break down what I'm seeing. First, the capex story is wild. AI hyperscalers are projected to drop roughly 530 billion this year, up from around 400 billion last year. Taiwan Semi already raised its 2026 capex guidance to between 52 and 56 billion back in January. This isn't slowing down—it's accelerating. The infrastructure buildout for AI is real, and it's massive.
Then there's the earnings picture. Wall Street's been revising Q1 2026 Tech sector earnings guidance up to 24% from just 18% in mid-January. Fifteen out of sixteen Zacks sectors are set to post year-over-year EPS expansion in 2026. The AI biotech and technology space specifically is showing ridiculous momentum.
Now, I've been looking at two plays that caught my attention during this dip. ServiceNow got absolutely crushed—down nearly 50% from its January highs. That's brutal on the surface, but dig deeper and the company's actually doing the right things. They're not fighting AI disruption; they're integrating it. Deepened the OpenAI partnership, expanding with Anthropic, building out what they call the AI control tower for business reinvention. The company posted 21-24% sales growth in 2025 reaching 13.28 billion, and they're projecting 20% revenue growth for 2026. If it ever bounces back to those January levels, you're looking at roughly 100% upside from here. CEO just bought 3 million worth of shares himself, which tells you something.
Then there's Celestica, the behind-the-scenes AI infrastructure play. Down about 25% from November highs, which honestly feels like a gift. This company manufactures the actual hardware—the servers, networking switches, data center infrastructure that powers the whole AI arms race. Revenue jumped 29% in 2025 to 12.39 billion, and they're projecting 37% growth in 2026. Adjusted earnings up 56% last year. They're increasing capex to 1 billion in 2026 because demand for AI data center tech keeps strengthening. The AI biotech and infrastructure sectors are feeding each other right now.
What's wild is that both of these are trading at discounts to where they were a few months ago, yet the earnings outlook keeps improving. The market's clearly overreacting to short-term noise. If you're a long-term investor, this kind of weakness in quality AI and tech infrastructure plays is exactly when you should be paying attention. The big money's still betting on Fed rate cuts in the back half of 2026, which would be fuel on the fire for growth stocks. The fundamentals haven't broken—they've actually gotten better.