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#Exclusive: US oil just crossed above Brent for the first time since the war began. Eleven hours before Trump's deadline.
Three weeks ago this war hurt Brent oil more than US oil. Brent was trading a full $22 above WTI.
Now look at the chart today.
WTI is at $115.43. Brent at $114.19. US oil has crossed above Brent for the first time since the war began.
That is not a small detail. That is a signal.
When WTI trades above Brent it means the pain has landed on American soil. The war that started as a global energy crisis has now become a direct American inflation problem.
And here is what makes this moment even more significant.
Trump's deadline is 11 hours away. Tuesday 8PM Eastern. If strikes happen tonight oil does not stay at $115. Every analyst watching this chart knows $120 becomes the next conversation immediately. If Tuesday ends with a deal oil drops fast.
The Fed cannot cut rates into $115 WTI. Corporate margins get squeezed. Transport costs rise. Everything that moves by truck gets more expensive.
Three weeks ago Brent felt this pain. Tonight America feels it too.
Will this end tonight?