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CICC Wealth Futures: Focus on whether Trump's continuous postponement threats can materialize; stay bullish on index futures and avoid overtrading.
During the holiday period, U.S. stocks didn’t fall but rose instead, again confirming that a decline in U.S. stocks is a burden the U.S. economy cannot bear. Trump continues to carry out a dull playbook of “threatening right when the weekend is coming, then backing down as the opening approaches.” Its core is to showcase his artistry in compromising with Wall Street. We believe the U.S.-Iran issue has not yet been conclusively settled. We suggest keeping an eye on whether the threats Trump keeps postponing can actually materialize, and watching more while doing less. (CICC Wealth Futures)