The current situation is very clear.

Iran holds two cards: enriched uranium and the Strait of Hormuz, firmly controlling the initiative.
Trump is unwilling to admit it, stubbornly sticking to his guns, using various threats and intimidation. It’s ineffective, very much like someone who’s overly aggressive in crypto trading, continuing to hold blindly, refusing to back down.
As for oil prices, as long as they stay sideways for a period of time, there’s no need for them to rise. Maintaining sideways movement means everyone will be finished—Bitcoin crashes, U.S. stocks crash, gold crashes. When faced with a crazy president, ordinary people have no way out. Good luck to all of you.
Note: What I said above is not analysis, but objective facts.