$ALEO CME "Federal Reserve Watch": 98.4% chance of holding interest rates steady in April. According to Gate News, on April 6, today’s CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data shows a 98.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April, with a 1.6% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike. The probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged until June is 96.6%, with a 1.8% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut, and a 1.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike.