The truth behind the surge in oil prices: It’s not supply and demand, but “fear premium” driving the pricing

Many people think oil prices are rising because of a shortage, but that’s not the case.
It’s “fear of future shortages.”
① Conflict trend:
Won’t end quickly → Fear will continue to be amplified
That’s the source of the premium.
② Trading strategy:
Experts are doing two things:
* Making money from volatility
* Avoiding trend reversals
Key point:
👉 The more extreme the market, the lighter the position
③ For the crypto market:
Rising oil prices = more cautious global capital → Reduced leverage → Volatility decreases or suddenly spikes
The crypto market will enter a “fake death + sudden explosion” mode
💬 Interaction:
Do you think the next big trend will start in oil or in crypto? #国际油价走高