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Huitong Network, April 3 — Over the week from March 31 to April 3, 2026, the global gold market demonstrated strong internal momentum amid a shortened trading week. The gold price not only recovered from late March losses but also formed a four-day rally on the daily chart, sending a strong short-term trend reversal signal to the market.
During the period from March 31 to April 3, 2026, the global gold market showed a strong internal impulse amid the shortened trading week. Despite the reduction in actual trading days due to Good Friday holiday, both spot gold and gold futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) experienced significant gains. Spot gold rose by 4.02% over the week, marking the largest weekly increase since the end of 2025; NYMEX gold futures showed an even more aggressive dynamic — a weekly increase of 4.74%. The main market development logic this week is confirmed by technical divergence and opposition to fundamental factors. Despite temporary pressure from a strong dollar, ongoing geopolitical risks, and rising long-term inflation expectations among major foreign institutions, the appeal of safe-haven assets quickly increased. The gold price not only recovered from late March losses but also, thanks to a four-day rally on the daily level, clearly signaled a short-term trend reversal.
On-chain data provide a clearer picture. The share of short-term holders—especially the group with a holding period of one week to one month—has fallen to 3.98%. Looking back at previous cycles, when this metric dropped below 4%, the market was typically near the bottom or directly in the bottom zone. Long-term holders control a larger portion of the supply, intraday trading is declining, and speculative demand is weakening—suggesting the market is shifting from high-frequency “trading games” to structural accumulation.
The essence of this divergence is a systematic transfer of биткоин liquidity from retail to institutions. биткоин does not disappear—it undergoes a structural change of ownership: the rise in the exchange “whale” ratio indicates that the original large crypto holders are selling; at the same time, publicly traded companies led by Strategy increased their net position by approximately 62,000 BTC during the same period. While individual investors are exiting the asset, institutions continue to buy at a steady pace—the ownership structure of биткоин is being rewritten.