Just caught IBM's Q4 earnings and honestly, the analyst questions were more interesting than the headline numbers. Here's what stood out to me.



So IBM crushed expectations—19.69 billion in revenue versus the projected 19.21 billion, and earnings per share hit 4.52 against expectations of 4.29. The software division is the real story here though. Growing at 9% annually, which CEO Arvind Krishna called their fastest growth ever. Seems like the AI and automation play is actually paying off for them.

What caught my attention was how the analysts dug into the real pressure points. Brent Thill from Jefferies wanted specifics on what's driving that software momentum, and the answer was pretty straightforward—automation, data platforms, and Red Hat OpenShift keeping the momentum going. Not exactly surprising, but solid.

The more interesting angle came from the infrastructure side. Eric and other analysts were probing whether this mainframe surge can actually stick around, or if we're just riding a product cycle wave. Krishna made a case about on-premises control and integrated AI capabilities, but you could feel the skepticism in how the questions were framed.

What really matters for the next few quarters? Red Hat staying on that double-digit growth trajectory, the Confluent acquisition actually delivering synergies, and whether they can convert those AI consulting backlogs into real revenue. That's where you'll see if this earnings beat is sustainable or just noise.

Stock's sitting around 294.73, basically flat from pre-earnings. Market seems to be taking the "show me more" approach, which makes sense. The software story is compelling, but execution on AI integration and margin expansion will be the real test.
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