CITIC Construction Investment Futures: Attacks on Middle Eastern energy facilities intensify concerns over oil supply

Overnight international oil prices are trading in a high-range, choppy pattern, with the Brent May contract up 2.45%. On Monday, UAE gas fields and the ports of Fujairah were attacked, and oil fields in southern Iraq were also hit. Iran’s retaliatory scope has expanded to Middle East energy infrastructure. On Tuesday, a hardline figure at the core of Iran’s establishment, Ali Larijani, was assassinated. The U.S. said it has designated nodes along Iran’s coastline near the Strait as attack targets, while also needing to watch for the possibility that the conflict could accelerate toward an end. Last week, the U.S. API crude oil inventories increased by 6.556 million barrels more than expected; we will watch tonight’s EIA inventory figures. We believe that at this stage, $85–$100 per barrel is still the benchmark trading range for Brent. (CITIC Guotou Futures)

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