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Today is Thursday, April 2, 2026. This morning's speech by Trump revealed in every aspect that the conflict will continue in the future.
Trump stated: "The full US military operations will be completed soon, and in the next two to three weeks, if no agreement is reached, there will be an extremely fierce attack on Iran, targeting power plants and even oil facilities."
From Trump's remarks, although he initially expressed the willingness for the US to end the war as soon as possible, given the current proposed agreements between the US and Iran, there is almost no possibility of negotiations.
Therefore, the way to end the war is more likely to be a fierce attack, which aligns with what Trump later mentioned.
Meanwhile, with the US midterm elections approaching in November, only seven months remain in the window period. Domestic opposition in the US to Trump's war efforts is growing louder, increasing the risk for Trump’s Republican Party of losing House seats.
This means that in the coming months, market conditions will change—not become more easing, but more rapid and intense, indicating that the market still has no bottoming opportunity or trend for now.
The current Fear and Greed Index is at 11, deep in the extreme fear zone, hovering between 8 and 14 over the past month.
There are seasonal factors supporting optimistic sentiment. Historically, April has been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months, with 10 out of the past 15 years ending in gains, averaging a 20.9% increase. In contrast, the average decline in losing years is 8.8%. Additionally, last week, Bitcoin rebounded strongly from the support level of the upward trend near 60,000, and is now attempting to regain it.