Opinion: Bitcoin will enter the final accumulation phase of this cycle, with a maximum decline potentially exceeding 40%

2026-04-02 03:08:52

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BlockBeats message, April 2, according to analyst Alicharts, Bitcoin is down 52% from its October 2025 peak. A three-day SMA crossover signal appeared on February 27 (a death cross where the 50-period and 200-period SMA lines cross), and it has now persisted for 30 days. Historical patterns suggest that within 3–6 days it may enter this cycle’s final accumulation window.

Alicharts pointed out that historical records show that in every major cycle since 2014, the 50 and 200 SMA crossovers have marked absolute bottoms and golden buying opportunities. Past cycles show that 23–33 days after the crossover, the final 40–52% decline occurs, completing the bear-market washout. The potential washout target level for this cycle is between $30,000 and $40,000, after which the next leg of the bull market will arrive.

BTC-2.95%

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