Probability of Fed Raising Rates by 25 Basis Points in April Drops to Just 0.5%

AirdropBlackHole · 2026-04-01T21:59:11+00:00

CME's 'FedWatch' data shows that as of April 1, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points has fallen to 0.5%, indicating a 99.5% chance of rates remaining unchanged.

AirdropBlackHole

2026-04-01 21:59:11

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On April 1, according to CME’s ‘FedWatch’ data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April has dropped to 0.5% (having briefly risen to 12.4% on March 23). The likelihood of a rate hike is now almost negligible, with a 99.5% probability of keeping rates unchanged.

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