Why Norfolk Southern Cut Capital Spending by $450 Million and Still Recovered Free Cash Flow

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Norfolk Southern (NSC) significantly improved its productivity in Q4 2025 by cutting its operating ratio to 65.3% and achieving a 7% headcount productivity figure, moving more freight with fewer employees. The company’s free cash flow surged to $2.2 billion, nearly $500 million above the prior year, despite a $450 million reduction in its two-year capital budget. Wall Street analysts are cautiously optimistic, with a mean price target implying 10.7% upside, contingent on volume recovery and the successful advancement of its merger application with Union Pacific.

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