The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 99.5%.

2026-04-01 12:19:12

Mars Finance reports that, according to CME “Fed Watch,” the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 99.5%. By June, the likelihood of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 9.4%, the chance of maintaining current rates is 90.1%, and the probability of a total 25 basis point rate hike is 0.5%.

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