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Geopolitical Extreme Pressure: Trump plans to end the Iran war “within two to three weeks.” This statement usually indicates two possibilities: either a quick agreement (positive), or a larger-scale military operation for a swift victory (short-term negative, long-term safe-haven demand surges).
Energy and Supply Chain Crisis: The UAE plans to collaborate with the U.S. military to forcefully breach the Strait of Hormuz. As the world's oil choke point, if conflict escalates, soaring oil prices will trigger inflationary pressures that directly limit the Federal Reserve’s room to cut interest rates, putting pressure on risk assets (cryptocurrencies).
Trump will deliver a nationwide speech on Thursday morning (Beijing time). During this vacuum period before the speech, the market is likely to remain in a state of high volatility and low liquidity “panic waiting.”
Currently, ETH is experiencing liquidity squeeze caused by geopolitical tensions.
Short-term performance: Due to war uncertainty, ETH is closely correlated with U.S. stocks, currently in a volatile downward phase testing the bottom.
At this moment, hold your horses, wait for Thursday morning’s speech, prepare your U, and get ready for “blood trading.”
#特朗普释放停战信号 $ETH