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Donald Trump just said: The Iran war will end within 2-3 weeks, no need to negotiate with Iran. He will speak nationwide on Wednesday evening.
Asian stock markets surged 4% today, S&P futures soared, and oil prices dropped from $105 to $102.
But BTC only rose 0.2%, to $67,950, hardly moved.
Throughout the entire war, BTC hovered between $65K and $73K, while the stock market experienced daily swings, and the crypto world remained still.
What does this indicate? Institutions are waiting for definitive signals; retail investors are already exhausted.
If the war truly ends, oil prices plummet → inflation expectations decline → interest rate cut expectations return → risk assets rebound. Once this logical chain starts, BTC’s resilience will be much greater