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【US Stock Futures】Dow futures rise by 210 points, Nasdaq futures up 0.8% — Trump will deliver a nationwide speech this Thursday morning at 9:00 AM (updated continuously)
Market optimism that the Middle East war may be coming to an end: U.S. stock index futures continued to rise on Wednesday during the Asian session. Dow Jones futures were up 210 points, at 46,792; S&P 500 futures were up 35 points, at 6,606; Nasdaq futures were up 194 points, or 0.8%, at 24,109.
Oil prices eased back. New York crude oil fell 0.8% to $100.59; Brent crude fell 1.8% to $102.28.
Gold prices kept rebounding. New York futures gold rose 0.9% to $4,721; spot gold rose 0.8% to $4,703.
Trump will deliver a speech at 9:00 p.m. Washington time on Wednesday (9:00 a.m. Hong Kong time on Thursday), introducing the latest developments in the Iran war.
HK stocks and ADR market updates are continuously being refreshed—see the next page for details
Intraday market summary:
【14:30】Dow Jones futures up 210 points, at 46,792; S&P 500 futures up 35 points, at 6,606; Nasdaq futures up 194 points, or 0.8%, at 24,109.
【14:30】Oil prices eased back. New York crude oil down 0.8% to $100.59; Brent crude down 1.8% to $102.28. Gold prices continued to rebound. New York futures gold up 0.9% to $4,721; spot gold up 0.8% to $4,703.
【14:30】【Gold price analysis】Gold briefly reclaimed the $4,700 level. Analysis: Elevated bond yields limit the rebound space for gold price. Is the January high perhaps a historic high of the kind “only happens once in a generation”?
【13:17】【U.S. stock market analysis】Optimism for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, and the Dow surged more than 1,000 points. Analysis: As long as the two oil-and-bond yield indicators keep moving downward, it reflects the market’s longer-term belief that a ceasefire is more likely.
【10:37】【AI startup】Anthropic’s alleged human error leaked internal source code for the coding assistant Claude Code—512,000 lines of code went viral
【10:23】【AI + layoffs】Oracle shares rose nearly 6%. Reportedly launching global layoffs—expected to affect thousands of people
【10:05】【Gold price trend】Gold prices continued higher; spot gold briefly broke through the $4,700 level—on optimism that the Iran war could be coming to an end
【09:00】【New stock IPO】SpaceX reportedly working with at least 21 banks to prepare for going public under the code name “Project Apex”
【08:32】【NKE earnings】Nike shares fell 9% after hours. It expects China sales to decline by 20%
【08:11】【Stock market legend Warren Buffett】Buffett warns the banking system shows signs of fragility—market panic may cause investors to exit; “it’s still advantageous if you rush out to the door early”
【07:34】【AI + investing】OpenAI adds $12 billion to this round of funding; post-investment valuation rises to $85.2 billion
【07:06】【Iran crisis】Trump: We have achieved the goal of destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons. We don’t need to reach an agreement to withdraw troops—we will be out in two or three weeks (continuously updated)
$1 and below reflects U.S. stock market conditions as of March 31 ====
Tuesday: Iran’s president said he is willing to end the war as long as it ensures no further attacks. The Dow surged 1,125 points and the Nasdaq rose 3.8%. Oil prices fell back.
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Tehran is willing to end the war if it can ensure it will not face attacks again. U.S. President Donald Trump also reportedly sent signals of a ceasefire, intending to end military actions against Iran without the Strait of Hormuz having reopened. The market is expecting a ceasefire arrangement, and U.S. stocks rallied sharply on Tuesday: the Dow’s gains expanded to as much as 1,167 points; oil prices fell back.
The Dow closed up 1,125 points at 46,341; the S&P 500 rose 2.91%, and the Nasdaq jumped 3.83%.
Live look at the U.S. stock close:
Focus stocks: Large-cap tech stocks continued to rebound. Nvidia (U.S.: NVDA) rose 5.6%, and Tesla (Tesla) rose 4.6%; Meta (U.S.: META) surged 6.7% at the close. It announced it would invest $2 billion in chipmaker Marvell, boosting Marvell shares by 12.8%.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran said it has issued orders to treat companies and institutions related to 18 U.S. high-tech and artificial intelligence companies in the Middle East as targets for attack.
U.S. President Trump posted on the social platform Truth Social, saying: “For countries, such as the United Kingdom, that cannot obtain aviation fuel because of the Strait of Hormuz—for example, refusing to take part in Iran’s ‘decapitation operation,’ I have a suggestion for you: First, buy from the United States—we have plenty of oil; Second, have the courage to go to the Strait of Hormuz and take it. You must start learning to be self-reliant; the United States will not help you the way it used to, just as you did not help us back then.”
He added: “Iran has basically already been destroyed. The hardest part is already over,” urging those “staying on the sidelines” to get their own oil instead.
Foreign media reported that Trump told his aides that even if the Strait of Hormuz is basically closed, he is still willing to end U.S. military operations against Iran, raising hopes in the market that the conflict—now in its second month—will come to an end.
New York crude oil closed down 1.46% at $101.38; spot gold had risen as much as 3.9%, hitting $4,686.9.
The U.S. dollar index was slightly weak, at 99.88 for now. Fed Chair Powell suggested that short-term rate hikes may not be necessary, and U.S. long-term Treasury yields continued to fall steadily; the 10-year Treasury yield was at 4.321%.
Russia’s ambassador to Iran, Alexey Dedov, said in an interview with Russian media on Tuesday that Iran’s supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei is currently in Iran and is not, as some rumors claim, in Russia receiving treatment.
HK stocks and ADR market updates are continuously being refreshed—see the next page for details
Intraday market summary:
【20:55】Powell: Monetary policy has lag effects, suggesting rate hikes may not be needed in the near term. Oil jumped 2%. Dow Jones up 320 points.
【21:30】Trump: If the Strait of Hormuz fails to reopen, we will blow up all Iran’s power plants and oil wells. Oil jumps 2%. Dow Jones up 396 points.
【19:55】Trump: If the Strait of Hormuz fails to reopen, we will blow up all Iran’s power plants and oil wells. Oil jumps another 2%. Dow Jones futures up 244 points.
【18:15】Dow Jones futures up 153 points; Nasdaq futures up 0.3%. Focus this week: Middle East developments + non-farm payroll data
【18:10】【Iran crisis】Iran confirms the death of the IRGC Navy commander—denies any direct negotiations (continuously updated)
【13:26】Dow Jones futures up 13 points to 45,437; S&P 500 futures up 6 points to 6,418; Nasdaq futures up 22 points or nearly 0.1% to 23,351.
【13:26】New York crude oil futures up 1.3% to $100.98; Brent crude futures up 2.3% to $115.17. For gold, it has steadied recently: New York futures gold up 0.2% to $4,534; spot gold up 0.4% to $4,512.
【12:19】【European Central Bank】Member: Lock in the 2% inflation target; it’s too early to talk about rate hikes now. Warned about systemic risks to the U.S. financial system
【10:58】【Iran crisis】Trump says the U.S. may seize Iran’s oil and take over the export hub on Khark Island
【10:21】【Japanese yen moves】Jun Mura warned it will take “bold action”—4.9 Hong Kong dollars per 100 yen
【09:30】【Oil price trend】Schroders expects high oil prices to persist longer, but the pain level is only half of the 2007 crisis peak
【09:17】【Gold price trend】Gold recorded its first weekly gain since the outbreak of the Middle East war, but gold prices have fallen again this week
【08:33】【Iran crisis】As the Iran war escalates, oil prices move higher; Japan and South Korea stocks also saw another “Black Monday”
【07:30】【Iran crisis】Oil rises another 2%. Pakistan: Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran may take place in the coming days; Iran is expected to allow 20 ships to pass through the strait; Trump is considering dispatching ground forces (continuously updated)
【07:30】U.S. President Trump said he will extend the bombing of Iran’s power plants by another 10 days. This has not eased the market; instead, concerns have grown that a prolonged war will affect oil supplies and intensify global economic shocks. U.S. stocks fell last Friday: the Dow closed at 45,166, down 793 points; the S&P 500 fell 1.67%; and the Nasdaq fell 2.15%.
Live look at the U.S. stock close:
U.S. stock market developments last week—see: 【U.S. stock close】Iran says nuclear facilities were attacked; war risks expanding; Dow plunges 793 points; oil prices rise again; U.S. dollar index breaks back above 100
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