Analysis: April may determine Bitcoin's next move, with RSI in the neutral zone and volatility possibly rising.

CycleProphet · 2026-04-01T04:06:33+00:00

April is usually a stronger month for Bitcoin, but since 2020, this pattern has become less reliable. Currently, BTC is in a neutral zone, with geopolitical issues and inflation concerns affecting market sentiment. Volatility in April may increase, and analysts recommend paying attention to market direction signals.

CycleProphet

2026-04-01 04:06:33

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Deep Tide TechFlow news, April 01, according to independent analyst Markus Thielen’s daily chart, historical data indicates that April is typically a stronger month for Bitcoin. Over the past 10 years, the average monthly increase has been about 11.3%. However, this pattern has become increasingly unstable since 2020; when early-month momentum is relatively high, it often triggers increased volatility and unclear direction during the month. Currently, BTC RSI has fallen to 47%, placing it in a neutral zone, and the initial conditions are relatively mild.

Nevertheless, ongoing market disturbances caused by rising geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns continue to disrupt market sentiment, prompting a reassessment of the policy paths of major central banks. Compared to the range-bound consolidation in March, volatility in April may rise somewhat. Analysts noted that April will be a key window to observe, focusing on whether the previous downward pressure can gradually ease and whether the market can form clearer directional signals.

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