Polymarket "Anthropic's 2026 publicly disclosed valuation exceeds $500 billion" probability is temporarily reported at 90%

Coin World News. Odaily Seer’s Oracle channel monitoring shows that, possibly due to the news “OpenAI completes a committed capital of $122 billion, with post-investment valuation reaching $852 billion,” the probability that Anthropic’s publicly disclosed valuation would exceed $500 billion in 2026 once fell from 93% to 90% within a day. It rose 4% week-over-week. The criteria for determining this event are as follows: as of 11:59 p.m. on December 31, 2026 (Eastern Time, US), if a public valuation of $500 billion or above is achieved, or if, in a private financing round, the company valuation is set to $500 billion or above, then the event will be judged as “Yes.” Otherwise, it will be judged as “No.” This valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic, or obtain a consensus of overwhelming credible reporting. The primary sources will be Anthropic’s official announcements, but it may also adopt credible consensus reporting. In earlier news, in February this year, Anthropic completed a $30 billion Series G funding round, with a post-investment valuation of $380 billion. GIC and Coatue led the round, with co-leads including D.E.Shaw Ventures, Dragoneer, Founders Fund, ICONIQ, and MGX, and participants including Accel, Addition, JPMorgan, Sequoia Capital, and Temasek, among others. Odaily Seer’s Oracle channel continues to monitor the prediction market, and before pricing, it sees changes.