Agent of '1011 Insider Whale': Iran is in a Strong Position, Refusing Talks with the U.S. is the Best Solution

AirdropBlackHole · 2026-04-01T00:02:28+00:00

Garrett Jin discusses the U.S.-Iran conflict, highlighting Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz and the implications of negotiation for Iran's security. Current market predictions suggest a low probability of safe navigation in the strait by the end of April.

AirdropBlackHole

2026-04-01 00:02:28

Abstract generation in progress

On April 1, Garrett Jin, the agent of ‘BTC OG Insider Whale’, expressed his views on the latest developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict. He stated that Trump mentioned NATO should take oil for itself if they want it. U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin indicated that ensuring the security of the Strait of Hormuz is not a military objective, but rather the responsibility of other nations. Both of these perspectives are irrelevant; Iran currently holds the advantage, possessing the trump cards and control over the strait. If Iran chooses to negotiate, they risk being attacked again by a strengthened enemy they cannot trust. Conversely, if Iran refuses to negotiate, they face the possibility of being attacked by an overstretched enemy now, or they could gain free passage fees in the Strait of Hormuz and achieve real power in the Middle East. The choice is clear. According to PolyBeats monitoring, the probability of ‘the Strait of Hormuz being navigable by the end of April’ on the prediction market Polymarket is as low as 18%.

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