Electromechanical cycle individual stock analysis

First, clarify the relationship between Yunnan Energy and Liaoning Energy; these two are key to this wave of electricity trading.
So far in this wave of trading, there are two important nodes: one is that on February 27, Yunnan Energy reached 7 boards, directly triggering this round of sentiment cycle; the second is that Liaoning Energy surged to 8 boards, but failed to advance to 9, which means that the height of this wave of trading has already peaked.
Last Thursday, Liaoning Energy’s attempt to reach 9 boards failed, and on Friday, it couldn’t manage a rebound either, basically confirming that this wave’s height is around 200%, and the heights of subsequent stocks will only get lower.

This wave of electricity trading is very similar to last year’s major cycle in Fujian; Yunnan Energy corresponds to the then Pingtan, while Liaoning Energy corresponds to Hefei. The only difference is that last year’s Fujian wave hard carried through regulatory breakthroughs over 200% fluctuations, while this wave of high electricity stocks learns from the previous aerospace stocks’ strategies, moving around the 200% fluctuations, not daring to confront regulators directly; the essence is the same.
The failure of Liaoning Energy’s rebound indicates that the Huadian brothers plan to hover at high levels for about a week, aiming to maneuver around fluctuations. Yunnan Energy was also maneuvering before; it is expected to show fluctuations on Monday. If Yunnan Energy continues to perform poorly and weaken, the market will think that the Huadian brothers can’t avoid fluctuations either, and then there will be no play in electricity next week. Therefore, to sustain the electricity trading, lifting Yunnan Energy to support high levels is the most stable approach.

Now looking at Taishan and Rongjie.
In Friday’s bidding, Taishan directly turned from weak to strong, completely outpacing its peer Hunan; from the bidding, it’s clear that Taishan won.
Now Taishan has reached 4 boards, corresponding to previous trading, which is the first wave of rebound after the leader breaks through; previously at the same position, Moen reached 8 boards, and with the index warming up and Liaoning Energy breaking through, it’s not a big problem for Taishan to aim for 6 boards. The accompanying stocks in the 4 board tier haven’t broken, indicating that this main rise hasn’t ended yet; tomorrow, Taishan will likely accelerate further, but if there are sudden divergences during the day, those wanting to take over need to be bold.
Rongjie also reached 4 boards on Friday; during the divergence in electricity, lithium batteries and innovative drugs instead surged, without cycling through AI and commercial aerospace, because Rongjie is core to lithium batteries and Meinuohua is core to innovative drugs. These two are just accompanying themes in the electricity cycle, riding the profit effect of electricity to rise; market sentiment hasn’t waned, it’s that simple.

Finally, talking about Guangxi, Jinkong, and Southeast.
The whole internet is guessing which stock in the second board is the rebound leader, but it’s actually unnecessary. Guangxi and Jinkong are only at 2 boards; if funds truly see this rebound point favorably, both are likely to advance together tomorrow; if they try to go from two to three, it will be a competition and mutual exhaustion, leaving the remaining one unable to go far, as seen in previous cases like Zhongmin and Mindong.
Guangxi had a transaction of 300 million on Friday; it needs to rotate on Monday. If on Monday there are large orders pushing a single board, and the sealing orders increase, it indicates that electricity will need to recover on Monday; if Guangxi and Jinkong both break boards together, then be careful of the electricity retreating. Southeast has been shrinking in volume while hitting the limit, hiding expectations; pay more attention on Monday.

Monday’s strategy:
Either hold high-position stocks like the Huadian brothers and Yunnan Energy, which are easily recognizable, or gamble on lower-position stocks going from two to three in the rebound; if electricity still has divergences, then look at lithium batteries and innovative drugs, as they are on a seesaw with electricity: if one side is weak, the other presents an opportunity.