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Next-day high success rate screening method for continuous limit-up stocks, Lu Ge will teach you step-by-step how to select strong stocks.
Many friends ask Lu Ge why many times the early selection ends up with losses and fails to find profitable ones. Lu Ge feels the pain of such comments, so he spent a weekend writing a detailed judgment process for everyone.
The content is quite extensive and is a summary of Lu Ge’s experiences. It may be difficult for everyone to digest all at once, so please like 👍 and come back often to turn the valuable content into your own knowledge, achieving the effect of integrating knowledge with action.
Core Logic: The previous day’s Lu Ge’s selection pool is just a prediction, while the funding attitude, support intensity, and theme position on the next day are the real certainties. The essence of improving win rates is to eliminate all the follow-the-trend, inflated, and weakly supported targets in the selection pool through tiered validation and a one-vote veto process, ultimately capturing the one with the strongest synergy and the highest possibility of consecutive limits for that day.
1. 9:15-9:25 Collective Auction: The first screening, directly eliminating 80% of ineffective targets.
The collective auction is the first reflection of the funding attitude for the entire day and the first threshold for screening. Targets that do not meet the criteria must be eliminated directly, regardless of how good the chart looked the day before; there’s no sentiment to linger.
First, observe the opening gap and its match with the tier. Reject extreme high or low openings. For 1 to 2 targets, a healthy opening gap is between 2%-5%; for median targets from 2 to 3 and 3 to 4, the healthy opening range is 3%-7%; for high-level consecutive limit targets of 4 boards or more, the opening gap should be controlled at 4%-6% for safety. All low-opening targets are directly eliminated; a low opening for consecutive limit stocks indicates very low overnight funding recognition, with subsequent consecutive limit probability below 10%, and even if it later turns red, it is mostly a trap. Opening gaps exceeding the corresponding tier’s upper limit, such as 1 to 2 opening over 7%, median boards over 8%, and high-level boards over 9%, are also directly eliminated, as extreme high openings can easily trigger profit-taking and lead to a sharp drop at the opening.
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Second, check whether the auction volume meets standards, rejecting inflated openings with no volume. This is the core hard indicator of the auction; the final transaction volume must reach 5%-10% of the total transaction volume from the previous trading day. An opening gap below 5% is inflated and lacks real funding support, which can lead to a collapse at the opening; exceeding 10% indicates excessive overnight divergence, with concentrated selling pressure likely to be released at the opening, posing a high risk of failure. For example, if the target had a transaction volume of 1 billion the day before, the auction transaction volume needs to be between 50 million and 100 million to meet the standard.
Finally, observe if the auction support is healthy, rejecting false orders and cancellations. Orders before 9:20 have no reference value as they can be canceled at any time; even if there are orders over 1 billion before 9:20, if there is significant cancellation after 9:20, they are directly eliminated. During the 9:20 to 9:25 auction phase, the price must steadily rise, and buying volume must continue to increase; there should be no scenario where prices continuously decline and selling pressure surges. After the auction ends, the remaining buy orders at the top should be greater than the remaining sell orders for the buying power to be considered dominant.
After the auction, your selection pool should only have 1 or 2 targets, with all others eliminated.
2. 9:30-9:40 Opening 10 Minutes: The second screening, verifying real support strength, locking in core targets.
Strong auction performance does not necessarily mean true strength; the support after the opening reflects the real willingness of funds to buy. These 10 minutes are crucial in deciding whether to act that day.
First, maintain the critical price bottom line. Within the first 10 minutes after the opening, it must not drop below the opening price and certainly not turn red; this is a hard bottom line. Even if there is a drop during the session, it must quickly recover within 30 seconds, maintaining above the opening price, with continuously rising lows to indicate healthy support. If it turns red within the first 10 minutes and cannot quickly return to the average price line, directly eliminate it; targets with weak support have a failure rate exceeding 70%, even if they later reach limits.
Second, the volume-price relationship must be healthy, consistent with the rhythm of increasing volume during rises and decreasing volume during declines. During rises, funds actively buy and build volume; during declines, only retail investors sell sporadically, and volume quickly shrinks, indicating that the main force is not offloading. If there is increasing volume during declines and decreasing volume during rises, it indicates significant selling pressure, with funds using the rise to offload, and should be directly eliminated.
Third, the average price line must have strong support. The intraday line should always run above the average price line, and each time it dips to the average price line, it should quickly rebound, with the average price line continuously trending upwards; this is the strongest support pattern. If the intraday line repeatedly dips below the average price line and the average price line continues downward, even if it does not turn red, it shows weak support and should be prioritized for elimination.
Fourth, reject false breakouts. If a stock jumps straight to a limit within the first minute of opening with no turnover, it should be abandoned; this type of limit has a 90% probability of failing. Prioritize stocks that steadily rise along the average price line, digesting selling pressure wave by wave, rather than those that rise sharply.
3. 9:40-10:00 Position Confirmation: The third screening, locking in the true leader in the theme, abandoning follow-the-trend stocks.
The premium of consecutive limits is essentially the premium of theme position. Within the same sector, the win rate of leading stocks for consecutive limits is over 5 times that of follow-the-trend stocks. This step is to confirm whether the remaining targets are the true leaders of the theme for that day.
First, verify the driving force. A true leader must be able to drive the sector. Its rise should directly pull up other stocks in the same theme, even helping the sector get its first limit; it should create a situation where it rises while the sector rises and consolidates while the sector consolidates; only then is it the absolute leader with sector synergy. If core targets in the same theme are low-opening, breaking limits, or plummeting, and it rises against the trend without any follow-up support, it is a solitary limit with very low probability of consecutive limits and should be directly abandoned.
Second, confirm the leading strength of the tier. Among the selected targets of the same tier, it must be the first to hit the limit and the first to close, with the largest and most stable orders, without repeated opening limits. Among the same theme, it should have the highest consecutive limits, being the space board of the sector; always prioritize the space board over low-level follow-the-trend boards.
Finally, match the overall market sentiment. Confirm the market environment on that day. If the number of stocks hitting limits continues to rise, the failure rate is below 20%, no batch of consecutive limit stocks has hit the nuclear button from the previous day, and the height of consecutive limits has not decreased, it indicates a healthy environment for buying. If the market sentiment clearly declines after the opening, with a failure rate exceeding 30% and consecutive limit stocks opening low in batches, even if the remaining targets are strong, they should be directly abandoned; the probability of losses in counter-trend operations exceeds 80%.
4. After 10:00 Confirming Entry Points: The final step, locking in the highest probability entry timing.
After the previous three screenings, you should have locked in the only target for that day; at this point, do not rush to chase high prices, but rather look for certain entry points that can increase the win rate by another 20%.
The highest probability first priority entry point is after sufficient turnover and then a limit re-establishment. The hard requirement is that before the limit, the target’s turnover rate must reach 50%-70% of the previous trading day, sufficiently digesting the profit-taking from the day before and overnight selling pressure; at this point, the limit is a collective board where funding divergence turns into consensus, with a very low failure rate. Absolutely avoid opening with low volume limits, and boards with turnover rates below 30% from the previous day; even if they close strongly, don’t touch them, as once they open, they can easily lead to significant losses.
The second priority entry point is a low absorption when the intraday prices pull back to the average price line, suitable for players who do not want to chase limits. For targets with confirmed leading positions and healthy support, a pullback to the average price line with shrinking volume is a stable low absorption entry point; set the stop-loss at the average price line, and if it breaks, exit decisively.
Two types of entry points must be absolutely avoided: first, chasing high prices within the first minute of opening with a straight rise exceeding 8% without limits, as it’s easy to chase the highest point of the day, facing a potential loss of over 10% if it fails that day; second, repeatedly opening and decreasing order quantities of poor boards, even if the turnover has been sufficient, it indicates significant funding divergence, with almost no premium the next day.
Supporting Operation Discipline and Core Mindset
The position for a single target should not exceed 20% of total funds; even if the certainty is high, do not go all in on one. After buying, set strict stop-losses; if it fails to revert to limits, drops below the average price line, or falls below the opening price, if any of these three conditions are met, immediately stop loss and never hold the position. If there are no targets meeting all standards for the day, go into cash directly, and never buy randomly just to fill the gap.
Finally, remember three core principles: prediction always obeys the real-time market; if a target looks good the day before but does not meet screening standards in real-time, simply abandon it; do not hold any obsessions; less is more, every day only capture the most certain one; often, if there are no targets meeting standards, go into cash; making trades 1-2 times a week is far superior to making random trades every day; only trade leaders, never follow the trend; better to buy the leader at a higher price than to buy a following stock at a lower price.
If you find the content useful, brothers, don’t hesitate to show your appreciation; give Lu Ge a thumbs up, leave a comment, even just saying “I learned something,” is the greatest recognition for Lu Ge’s hard work.
As long as you reward 25,000 points in the main post, you can directly unlock the identity of a golden member, don the golden robe, and become my core brother, enjoying exclusive benefits for golden members:
1. Daily precise operation plans for the early session, pre-locking core targets, with clear buy and sell points throughout;
2. Real-time operational reminders during the session; if there are any movements or opportunities, I will notify you at the first moment, ensuring you do not miss any profit opportunities and also do not miss any warning signals;
3. I will point out any gaps in your operations and areas that need improvement, helping you perfect your trading system;
4. Any problems or bottlenecks you encounter in your operations, feel free to leave a message, and I will reply at the first moment, helping you solve problems one-on-one!
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