Vance Criticizes Netanyahu's Overly Optimistic View on Iran Regime Change

On March 27, Axios reported that U.S. Vice President Vance criticized Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s overly optimistic predictions regarding the current U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict during a phone call earlier this week, stating that Netanyahu ‘exaggerated the likelihood of regime change in Iran.’ According to a U.S. official cited in the report, before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, Netanyahu portrayed the conflict as ‘easily manageable’ and emphasized that the ‘possibility of regime change in Iran is very high,’ but Vance was skeptical of this view. The official also mentioned that Vance ‘played a leading role’ in the U.S.-Iran ‘ceasefire negotiations,’ while Israel is attempting to undermine those talks. According to PolyBeats monitoring, the probability of the Iranian regime collapsing by the end of March is 1%, and by the end of April, it is 9%.