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[Red Envelope] Emotions decline, with high and low turning points; after Huadian Liaoning Energy ends, can Minohua carry the banner? Stay tuned!
The distance from the tenth floor to the third floor is just like Sucheng’s seasonal bloom cycle[Taoguba]
Scheng’s tea is all about “drinking by the sky.” The early-spring Bi Luo Chun is fresh and crisp; the Qing brewed during Grain Rain is mellow and full-bodied; once it’s out of season, the flavor is no longer right. Today’s market board is just like that tea that missed its time—yesterday it was boiling-water high pour, filling the whole room with a chestnut-like fragrance; today, when you taste it, it’s only a sluggish, stale bitterness from over-steeping.
Over 4,400 stocks across the whole market are green, and trading value has also deflated, shrinking to 1.94 trillion. The most eye-catching part is the 连板 (consecutive daily limit-up) height—yesterday it was overlooking the crowd from the tenth floor; today it has dropped straight down to the third floor.** This fall from ten to three, in the middle it seems as if there was no transition at all—so decisive it’s enough to make your heart skip.** This is not a late-spring cold snap; this is a sudden rain announcing that prosperity has come to an end. Yesterday’s post also kept reminding: don’t be impulsive, don’t rush into the entry; and what I’ve always emphasized—the Zhongwei stocks don’t participate—has once again been proven true. Especially the Zhongwei stocks in the same sector during the later stage of the leader: they cannot participate either. Remember this. This is also why, near the close, the core position—taking your green exit from Green Power Dynamics—was necessary: Huadian Liaoning Energy already opened the board; it can only exit first. Kill decisively, execute without hesitation; that’s also why I kept holding until the close. If Huadian can withstand it, then it can keep dancing;
A “high-floor staircase removal” orchestrated in advance
After the bell, someone is always fond of using the words “retreating tide.” But today, rather than saying the tide is going out, it’s more like the banquet is breaking up.
1. High-tier leaders “falling from the building” is an expected curtain call
This cycle, centered on power, has already reached the height of ten boards—this is as far as it can go.** The leader broke the board yesterday, and today related high-position stocks “fell” together—this is the clearest signal: the sector’s main uptrend wave is over.** This is not an accident; it’s the inevitable destination after any emotional cycle reaches its extreme. Those who chased highs yesterday became the last order buyers of the “grand feast” today. This is the market’s cruelty and fairness; it never prolongs even a moment of joy because of anyone’s enthusiasm.
2. The collapse of mid-tier stocks is the inevitable release of risk
When high-tier leaders fall, mid-tier stocks are the first hit. Those targets at three or four boards, five or six boards—today they became the worst-hit zone for selloffs. They were originally “followers” rising by treading on the shadow of the leader; once the shadow disappears, they lose their footing, and they fall the fastest and the hardest. This reminds us that at the end of a cycle, mid-tier stocks are often the most dangerous area—more prone to dying suddenly than the high-position leader.
3. “Residual warmth” still exists—hibernation before new fire ignites
However, the board is not completely dead silent. The ladder teams on the third floor, second floor, and even the first board lineup are still maintaining a strange completeness. This isn’t vitality; it’s residual warmth. After active capital withdraws from the tenth floor, it rests temporarily on the third floor and second floor, lighting a few faint lamps. They may be looking for sparks that haven’t cooled in the embers of the old main line, or they may have already started to test entirely new directions. This glimmer is a small hope in despair, but it could also be the starting point of a new prairie-fire surge.
Today’s board is a clean and decisive “high-altitude dismantling operation” targeting the old cycle (power).
Dismantle fast, dismantle hard—but you didn’t blow up the foundation along with it. On top of the ruins, a few scouts have already started moving.**
Sector context: Power “embers” and tests of “new kindling”
Market capital is always the smartest hunter. Once the old prey has been devoured, they start searching for new scents in the grass.
Patience, wait for the next lamp to be lit
Scheng’s gardens emphasize “moving a step to change the scenery.” You think you’ve reached the end of the mountain and the water, but when you turn around, it might be willow shade and bright flowers. The market is the same.
Short term (tomorrow): release panic, and observe the “spark”
With such a rush selloff today, if tomorrow’s open also brings panic and dips again, short-term sentiment may have a chance to repair. As for the quality of the repair, look at two points: first, the contest between 3 and 4 boards—who can bear the pressure and advance; their direction may get a brief focus. Second, whether a new first board—or a 1-to-2 breakout—with sector effects appears. That could be the budding of a new direction. But remember: until volume and energy return to a healthy level (e.g., above 2.1 trillion), any “repair” might be an opportunity to cut positions rather than to attack.
In the ultra-short-term world, on a retreat day, stocks that can still close limit-up or turn red are often hiding the password for the next cycle.
Today’s best is a collective farewell from the highs—no scattering—yet the bad part was that the dragon at the end of the day suddenly dived. But if you understood it, you already took back most of your focus during the closing auction limit-up;
**
**
Market context: Does the old king die, and does the new king live?
• Power sector: high-position stocks collectively turning out faces—that’s inevitable after the peak. But Hunan Development, Xineng Taishan, and other three-board survivors are still alive, showing that capital hasn’t completely given up; it’s just doing a “rotate out weak, keep strong” high-low switch. This matches my observation about a complete “rear-rank ladder,” but whether these survivors are being used for retreat or for an attack will be clear once we see the opening tomorrow. Specifically, observe the performance of Huadian Liaoning Energy and Green Power Dynamics—compared to expectation, today’s T that didn’t get out is why the full take-back at the limit-up wasn’t done;
• Testing new directions: besides the (semiconductor transformation, pharmaceuticals) I follow, today lithium batteries also showed some performance. The market is “testing”—trying to see which new direction can absorb the trillion in funds flowing out of power. Let’s talk about my observations;
Today’s zero-axis watch: this is an extremely precise pick for the position. Tomorrow, no matter what, you can calmly hold the fishing bench; even if it opens lower, it can still generate profits.
As for the entry point, it’s a game of cognition—earlier entry means more composure the next day; but the cognition test is extremely challenging! Today’s strength lies in the complete reshaping of logic.
• It’s no longer traditional packaging: the market no longer treats it like a paper packaging stock. It plans to invest in Chipscreen Semiconductor (GPU); its subsidiaries involve perovskite equipment; it has equity participation in an AI chip company—this whole chain of moves wraps it in the “hard technology” cloak. When power is retreating and funds have nowhere to go, these low-position + new-story targets naturally become a safe-haven pool.
• Chip position and status: 7 days with 5 boards; when the index sold off hard today, it still held the board decisively. It has broken away from mere sector-linked moves and is taking a “independent妖股” group route. In chaos, capital loves this kind of “has a story, has height, and has turnover.” The zero-axis is the point of divergence and also the confirmation point. This kind of operation is comparable to a textbook—haha, let me brag a bit. If you understand it, you enter; the game of cognition leads to harvesting. I paid attention a second time—hoping it goes as expected!
Watched yesterday, it did a T again today to keep the game in its favor—what I’m looking at is its uniqueness.
• Logic that crosses cycles: weight loss drugs (GLP-1) are already a track independent of macroeconomics. With added expectations of raw material drug price increases and earnings growth, the fundamentals are supported. When power is in a big retreat, pharma is a traditional haven for capital; and Menonova, as a three-board high-tier, is the brightest star on this line.
• Expectation for tomorrow: today’s board closes with some minor divergence, but it doesn’t affect the overall picture. As the space leader in the pharma direction, as long as the sector doesn’t collectively collapse, it has the momentum to keep pushing higher. My stance is to bet on it becoming a turnover dragon that survives the retreat period.
Those holding cash stay still; those holding shares decide
Different positions, facing such a scene, should have different mindsets.
• For those holding cash (sitting on the sidelines): please continue to keep this elegance and composure. The market’s elevator has just fallen from the tenth floor. Even if it stops on the third floor, we don’t need to rush in to confirm whether it’s safe. Wait for that successful “fourth board” to appear, wait for a new, cohesive sector to demonstrate continuity, wait for volume to gently expand again. Opportunities are waited for, not snatched. At this moment, patience is the firmest foundation for future profits.**
• For those holding shares (especially those holding power and other old main lines): you need a cool-headed decision. If what you hold is a “survivor” with lofty standing within the sector, and its trend is stronger than the sector, then add a bit more patience and observe whether it can pass through the pullback. If what you hold is already clearly lagging mid-tier or follower-type products, then every rebound is a chance to cut positions or adjust your holdings. Don’t search for the protagonist of the next scene on the stage where the curtain is falling.**
• For everyone: please reassess your account and your inner self. The market’s rhythm has changed—from the rising main trend to a complex rotation. At this time, lower expectations, control position size, stay sensitive, but delay your actions. Like an experienced tea guest, you know which cup should be brewed in a hurry and which cup should be brewed slowly. Right now, the market is precisely when it needs to slow down a bit.
Outside Sucheng, twilight gradually comes together. After a day of noise, it all ends in silence. The market’s noise and disappointment are the same. From the tenth floor to the third floor isn’t far, but it’s enough to sober up the fervent and settle the restless. When that light rises, our eyes have already adapted to the dark, and there are still enough “sparks” within reach—ones that haven’t been used up.
Qianyu system 6-character true words: timing > bias > selecting stocks!
Timing: select emotions cycle! Bias: select the money-making effect! Selecting stocks: select the strongest dragon first!
Dragon picks (limit-up dragon, trend dragon), track the main-line action, and ride the market’s collective force;
Use position management + emotional turning points + decisive execution to achieve stable profitability—positive returns!
As scattered flowers grow, they start to enchant eyes—he’s the one who gets blinded, and I make money!
Anyway, respond by changes: understand the changes and respond anytime!
About learning the fundamentals system, I also wrote about it in my previous posts. After it’s empty later, I’ll keep updating. What would you like me to write more about? You can leave a comment,
Please click the links below to watch:
How to identify a dragon leader and make money from it ( )
How to understand the opening call auction ( )
How to quickly understand the intraday trend chart (trend stocks) ( )
Trend trading method sharing for office workers ( )
How to think about selling too early ( )
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Everyone’s time and energy are valuable. I will definitely invest in the people who are lifting me up. Maybe other poster(s) are even more capable, but I’ve only entered the market for 2.5 years. If I stay together with you for another half year, what level of evolution can I reach?! Choose me—we’ll move forward together. How great is that! More interactions and likes—300 points can become silver fans. If it’s truly difficult to like or interact, just do enough. If you want to listen to my live broadcast, remember to tip and urge the host with 200 points, and then the platform will arrange it as soon as possible. We are prohibited from asking for stock-specific guidance or suggestions—if you see that I don’t reply, please forgive me; this is the rule. I’m currently trading with my left hand limit-up stocks and my right hand strong trend stocks—almost nonstop all day, whatever market comes, I do that kind of trade! Choose me, haha! Let’s all improve our aesthetics together—next, we only do the dragon leader, the coolest one! No miscellaneous stocks, and don’t get trapped and bag-held;
This article is only my personal review notes and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky; investment requires caution.