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BTC midday market analysis
Trend assessment
Currently, Bitcoin is breaking down and declining, with the market fully entering a bearish dominant trend. The trend has completely deteriorated. It is strictly forbidden to blindly buy the dip or to go against the trend to catch a rebound.
Key technical signals
1. Break of structure: Price breaks below key support, establishing a clear downtrend; 2. Moving average resistance: The current price is below the all-cycle moving averages, facing resistance across the board, indicating that rebounds are high-level shorting opportunities; 3. Momentum confirmation: MACD crosses below the zero line and continues downward, with increasing downward momentum, indicating strong bearish energy.
Critical attack and defense levels
Resistance/Shorting zone: 69800 (short-term moving average resistance), 70500-71000 (strong resistance zone for shorting)
Support/Downside targets: 68500 (short-term first support), 68000, 67000 (key psychological support levels)
Practical trading ideas
Main strategy (trend-following short): When the price rebounds to the 69800 or 70500-71000 zone and shows signs of resistance, consider entering short positions. Set stop-loss above 71000. The first target is 68500; if broken, look toward 68000.
Conservative approach: Since the downtrend has no clear bottom, holding U and observing is the best choice. Avoid impulsive actions; the best response is to wait patiently.
Analysis summary
Bitcoin’s trend has deteriorated; all rebounds are opportunities for high-level shorts, not signs of reversal. Wait patiently for high-level short setups or until clear bottom stabilization signals appear in the market before acting. Strictly avoid early buying the dip.