# U.S.-Israel Airstrikes on Iran Enter Fourth Week, Quick Victory Strategy Backfiring

The swift-strike gamble is failing as the U.S.-Israel air campaign enters its fourth week. The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded, global oil prices are surging, with crude now approaching $92 per barrel. This conflict increasingly resembles Iraq—murky objectives, missing contingency plans, excessive optimism.

Former U.S. Colonel Mansour stated bluntly that "history is repeating itself." From Vietnam to Iraq, America has repeatedly fallen into the paradox of "tactical victories, strategic quagmires." This time, no one can even articulate what victory looks like: regime change or simply degrading military capabilities? The answer remains elusive.

The bigger problem: Iran controls 20% of global oil shipment chokepoints. The U.S. faces the burden of post-war reconstruction whether it likes it or not—otherwise, global inflation, ally dissatisfaction, and eroded influence follow.

Trump publicly claims "focused objectives," but internally, officials have already resigned over "endless warfare." Experts warn this is an unwinnable situation—prolonging it means a quagmire; withdrawing carries its own costs.

With unclear conditions and unstable oil prices, global markets are holding their breath.