Real Account Record: A 20-Year Retail Investor's Path to Breaking Even (26-03-25)

Goal: Reach 1.3 million in March [Taogu Ba]

Date: 03-25
Stock Market Weather: Shanghai Composite (1.30%) China Securities 2000 (2.28%) Up 4,874 Down 560
Today’s Profit and Loss: 3.44%

Today’s Operations

1. Last night, I queued up Hunan Development, Lidao New Materials, and Shitou Shares. After the bidding started, I found that the sealed orders were below expectations, so I canceled and waited for opportunities. Hunan Development’s sealed orders increased from 40 million to 370 million after 9:22, which was very sudden and not a gradual increase. I reacted late and only placed one order, feeling that the chance of getting in was low.

2. After the bidding ended, Hunan Development opened with a flat limit-up, with a transaction of 40 million and sealed orders of 436 million, continuing to queue; Lidao New Materials, Haixing Shares, Guangdian Shares, and Shitou Shares opened 1 to 4 points higher, fitting Mode B. Today, China Securities 2000 opened slightly higher, outperforming the Shanghai Composite, meeting the entry conditions.

3. Among the alternative stocks, I queued Hunan Development, but the hope was slim, and I didn’t adjust my position, only placing 50,000 yuan. The overall environment was good today, and it was a key point for the first board. Since I couldn’t get the strongest, I missed the opportunity, which I felt a bit regretful about, but I also had to consider risk. So I prepared to hit the board with alternative stocks. The first to hit the board was Lidao New Materials, I made a trade, but it exploded in less than 10 minutes. While I was still regretting, I found my position hadn’t been adjusted, only bought 50,000 yuan, which I was somewhat relieved about. Lidao New Materials exploded in less than 2 minutes, and Shitou Shares hit the board again. Two of my alternative stocks had a high chance of hitting the limit-up, so I adjusted my position and queued them. The sealing of this stock was also sudden, jumping several levels directly to limit-up. I saw a slight chance to enter before the close, so I didn’t cancel the order. At 2 PM, Shitou Shares triggered my order, and although it was sealed at the end of the day, the sealed order wasn’t large. It seems that not doing the strongest alternatives still results in losses.

4. As usual, I fed the flat limit-up to AI for analysis, which recommended Shao Neng Shares. After several weeks of continuous optimization, today’s AI performance was still good, with the top three successfully advancing. I plan to test until the end of this month; once the success rate exceeds 70%, I will start trading.

5. I hold three stocks. Liaoning Energy opened with a flat limit-up, choosing the pattern. Zhongli Group opened 4 points higher today. After two days of large orders failing to buy at flat limit-up, many off-market funds want to enter to gamble, so the main force’s resistance to pulling the board isn’t high, but the support is strong. If I were the main force, I would definitely choose to sell at this time. After several internal struggles, I gave up the idea of holding until the end of the day without hitting the limit-up and decided to sell. Experts should sell the leading stock; two limit-ups are enough, and the risk and profit can be left to others. Langfang Development’s cost was 6.75 yuan, and I chose to sell at 6.76 yuan for the fee, but today’s highest was only 6.75 yuan. I missed the chance to sell at the end of the day due to other matters, hoping for another opportunity tomorrow.

6. Today, the mode was slightly deviated, and the feedback wasn’t very good. The phrase “knowing and doing” is really hard.

Trading Mode and Experience Summary
-------------Stock Selection-------------

1. Select 3 first-board stocks every night for the backup pool, combining the overall market, sectors, hot spots, and stock patterns. Choose strong rather than weak stocks, only the strongest sectors or new sectors (first boards only). Prefer stocks within the same sector and rank, especially those with restructuring concepts or multiple strong concepts. Avoid stocks with overly good performance, as they likely contain bad apples (02-10).
2. If no suitable first-board stocks are available that day, do not trade. Stocks without sector support should be directly passed (01-08).
3. Don’t rush to pick stocks during holidays; wait until the last night, considering all news and developments before making a choice (02-10).

-------------Position Opening-------------

1. Only do one entry with two exits, selecting the strongest from the backup pool for overnight orders. Focus on bidding for flat limit-up stocks; if unable to buy, stay in cash (04-24).
2. During the main rise period, prioritize placing orders on flat limit-up stocks; during chaotic periods, can abandon flat limit-up orders to catch turn-over stocks for hitting the board (12-27).
3. Cancel all orders with sealed orders below 100 million before 9:20:00 (05-30).
4. When China Securities 2000 turns red and outperforms the Shanghai Composite, and the sector has no limit-ups or only flat limit-up stocks (09-04):
   a. Backup stocks open 6-9 points higher + successfully hit the board before 10:00 → buy on hitting the board.
   b. Backup stocks open 1-5 points higher + price stops falling and rebounds, breaking intraday high → buy at breakout.
5. Use volume arbitrage mode based on the first flat limit-up bid to find the most related one-in-two targets, buy directly in the bidding, sell the next day in the bidding (02-27).
6. Use half-position rolling operations to reduce risk (01-03).
7. Do not trade stocks with 20CM (20 consecutive limit-ups) (03-07).
8. Only do night queueing if the success rate of flat limit-up is above 80% on the same day (06-20).
9. Don’t be afraid or float; buy if the pattern fits. If missed, wait for the next opportunity. The stock market offers many chances; patience is key (12-12).

-------------Holding Stocks-------------

1. For all holdings hitting the limit-up, set sealed order alerts. If sealed orders decrease by more than half, sell the stock (12-25).
2. For stocks that broke the limit-up yesterday, if the bid opens more than 2 points below, cut losses immediately at open with a limit order (12-27).
3. For stocks that didn’t hit the board yesterday, observe whether the bidding trend weakens or strengthens. If weakening, cut losses at open; if strengthening, hold based on the moving average (12-27).
4. For stocks with successful consecutive limit-ups (not third-tier stocks), consider holding until the end of the day’s bidding. If unable to hit the limit-up, sell at the limit-down price (12-27).

-------------Other-------------

1. After a big loss, don’t get emotional. The road is long. Stay calm, and recover gradually according to the plan (12-03).
2. Review lessons before each market open. In 2025, focus on practicing, continuously optimize stock selection, and strive to improve success rate (12-31).

2025 Profit: 34.41%, Operation Success Rate: 50.09%

January Operation Summary
Monthly profit: 11%, success rate: 58.13%

February Operation Summary
Monthly profit: 8.32%, success rate: 62.06%

March Operation Summary
03-02 Backup (He Shun Petroleum 9.99, Hunan Gold 10.00, Dongfang Zirconium -0.58, Nanhua Futures 6.82, Delong Hui Neng -1.52)
Buy (He Shun Petroleum, next day 9.99, profit/loss 9.91) (Hunan Gold, next day -1.78, profit/loss 6.40)
03-03 Backup (Chitianhua 4.73, Leike Defense -1.41, Beiken Energy 10.01, Baiyun Electric -3.37, Tefa Information -6.10)
Buy (Leike Defense, next day -0.37, profit/loss -9.14) New mode (Xin Natural Gas, same day 9.39, next day -4.88, profit/loss 0.20)
03-04 Backup (Hongtong Gas -4.68, Shaanxi Black Cat -5.10, Ningbo Shipping -8.62, Baichuan Energy -168, Beijing Kere 1.83)
Buy (Hongtong Gas, next day -3.21, profit/loss -11.69) New mode (Keurui Technology, same day -4.64, next day -4.74, profit/loss -5.34)
03-05 Backup (Yinxing Energy -0.41, Red Sun 0.73, Yuexin Health -0.49, Chengbang Shares 5.99, Jingquan Hua 1.19)
Buy (Chengbang Shares, next day 10.00, profit/loss 3.88) New mode (Demingli, same day 1.80, next day 5.86, profit/loss -0.43)
03-06 Backup (Taihao Technology 9.99, Woge Optoelectronics 1.29, Zhongchao Holdings 1.00, Baili Electric 2.11, Yawi Shares -2.77)
Buy (Baili Electric, next day 3.55, profit/loss 0.84) New mode (Xiongtao Shares, same day -1.67, next day -2.04, profit/loss -7.27)
Outside mode (Huacan Optoelectronics, same day 16.49, next day -1.93, profit/loss -8.55)
03-09 Backup (Ningbo Construction 10.02, GCL Energy Tech 9.99, Yaxing Chemical 1.47, Zongshen Power -3.68, Changbao Shares -4.40)
Buy (Ningbo Construction, next day 9.93, three days 9.94, profit/loss 20.86) New mode (Hangjin Technology, same day 2.31, next day -0.86, three days -0.50, profit/loss -2.36)
03-10 Backup (Yuhuan CNC 10.00, Lixin New Energy 0.21, Qunxing Toys 9.98, Hongbo Shares 2.12, Hongchuan Wisdom -5.93)
Buy (Yuhuan CNC, next day -4.02, profit/loss 10.01) (Qunxing Toys, next day -3.51, profit/loss 6.27) New mode (Yunsai Zhilian, same day 5.08, next day -2.91, profit/loss -7.33)
03-11 Backup (Jin’an Guoji 2.62, Changjiang Communications 2.51, Dingxin Communications 9.99, Zhongheng Design -0.74, Beijing Kere 2.10)
Buy (Dingxin Communications, next day -4.64, profit/loss 0.82) (Beijing Kere, next day -2.19, profit/loss -1.50)
03-12 Backup (Jinpu Titanium 2.87, Chint Power 10.01, Energy-saving Wind Power 9.93, Sanfu Shares -4.22, Shenzhen Huaqiang -1.22)
Buy (Chint Power, next day 2.70, profit/loss 3.07) (Energy-saving Wind Power, next day -0.23, profit/loss 4.52)
03-13 Backup (Zhenjiang Shares -3.34, Shaanxi Black Cat 1.35, Jinkai New Energy -6.62, Jihan New Materials -1.46, Kesen Technology -4.39)
Buy (Shaanxi Black Cat, next day -4.96, profit/loss -8.12) New mode (Jilin Chemical Fiber, same day -3.98, next day 5.81, profit/loss 0.69)
03-16 Backup (Tianshun Wind Power -1.85, Ri Chu Dongfang -2.33, Xinghua Shares -1.93, Lanfan Medical 2.90, Jinying Shares -5.92)
Buy (Ri Chu Dongfang, next day -0.40, profit/loss -5.70) (Xinghua Shares, next day -1.57, profit/loss -8.32) New mode (Sifang Jingchuang, same day 5.04, next day -4.00, profit/loss -8.15)
03-17 Backup (Taiji Industry 2.93, Hongbai New Materials -1.30, Vico Technology -4.74, Youfu Shares 3.51, Annie Shares -1.64)
Buy (Hongbai New Materials, next day 1.41, profit/loss -4.80) (Taiji Industry, next day 0.60, profit/loss 0)
03-18 Backup (Steel Hongxing 10.00, Jiangsu New Energy 1.89, Chenfeng Technology 0.37, Renzhi Shares 0.72, Zhongzhou Holdings -1.16)
Buy (Jiangsu New Energy, next day 4.39, profit/loss 1.87) (Steel Hongxing, next day -5.79, profit/loss 5.12)
03-19 Backup (Meili Yun 10.02, Chengbang Shares 2.20, Jiali Tu -0.10, Jinhai High-tech -2.93, Hangdian Shares -1.64)
Buy (Jiali Tu, next day -1.66, profit/loss -4.15) (Chengbang Shares, next day -5.73, profit/loss -14.46)
03-20 Backup (Mingpu Optical Magnetic 2.46, Jixin Technology -5.38, Ri Chu Dongfang -1.12, Lanyan Holdings 4.99, Guang’an Aizhong -5.75)
Buy (Mingpu Optical Magnetic, next day -7.17, profit/loss -11.36) (Jixin Technology, next day 2.28, profit/loss -9.26)
New mode (Tongniu Information, same day -5.21, next day -7.17, profit/loss -17.52) Outside mode (Reiskanda, same day -4.46, next day 10.02, profit/loss -4.64)
03-23 Backup (Zhongli Group 9.97, Huashu Holdings -9.91, Hengtian Hailong -10.04, Jingtou Development -2.95, Shuhua Sports -4.12)
Buy (Zhongli Group, next day 10.02, profit/loss 21.00) New mode (Shangneng Electric, same day -7.32, next day 1.22, profit/loss -8.61)
03-24 Backup (Liaoning Energy 9.94, Tuori New Energy 10.02, Langfang Development 4.09, Shoukai Shares -1.87, Hanjian Shanhe -4.28)
Buy (Liaoning Energy, next day 10.00, profit/loss) (Langfang Development, next day 1.36, profit/loss)

03-25 Backup (Hunan Development 9.99, Lidao New Materials 5.77, Haixing Shares 3.18, Guangdian Shares 6.56, Shitou Shares 9.97)
Buy (Lidao New Materials, next day, profit/loss) (Shitou Shares, next day, profit/loss)