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Australia's "Hundreds of Gas Stations Run Dry," South Korea "Enters Crisis Mode," Americans "Tighten Their Belts"... Hormuz Crisis Spreads Globally
The brief drop in oil prices is masking a more dangerous fact: real-world shocks are happening faster, deeper, and more destructively than financial markets are pricing in.
The Strait of Hormuz blockade has entered its fourth week. According to CCTV News, on March 24 local time, U.S. President Trump said the U.S. is communicating with the “right people,” and Iran “hopes to reach an agreement.” After Trump signaled a ceasefire, Brent crude fell below $100, and WTI crude retreated below $90.
A crisis seems to be heading toward a manageable conclusion.
But before that, multiple countries have entered a state of substantive crisis: Australia has experienced hundreds of gas station outages, South Korea has implemented its strictest energy controls in nearly 30 years, and U.S. consumers are beginning to cut back on spending.
The “cracks” in the real world have appeared before the price system. This means one thing: the market is using “expectations” to fight against “reality.”