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High-level disagreement, upcoming highlights to watch for
Good evening, brothers [Taogu Ba]
My writing style is straightforward and concise, analyzing the market based on feedback.
Welcome everyone to share and discuss more.
……………………………………………………………………… Operation Review:
Monday: Huagong Technology held positions, Dongfang Electric bought at open, Zhongheng Electric sold off. Huagong’s trend was good, so no action. Dongfang Electric pulled back after rising, took a position. Zhongheng Electric was too weak to hold, so I exited directly.
Tuesday: Huagong Technology surged then fell back, breaking the moving average for profit-taking. Qunxing Toys made a quick move, Dongfang Electric held positions. Based on the strong trend, it’s reasonable to take profits and wait for a pullback. But looking back, this was the strongest and most unexpected trend recently, so I sold quickly. Don’t be greedy in this market. Qunxing Toys responded midday and was sold, while Dongfang Electric remains to watch on the five-day moving average.
Wednesday: Qunxing Toys pulled back to the opening price for profit-taking, Dongfang Electric exited at zero line. Qunxing Toys didn’t quickly rise again, so I took profits. If Dongfang Electric is about to break the five-day line, the pattern will change.
Thursday: GCL-Poly Energy bought at open, gap up and continued higher.
Friday: GCL-Poly Energy held positions, Dongshan Precision bought at open. GCL-Poly Energy was proactive and resilient, so I held. Dongshan Precision opened high and strengthened, so I bought.
This week’s oscillation and rotation didn’t generate significant profits. It was mainly rotating within a few hot sectors, with many subdivisions, making it a difficult phase to trade. If there’s no volume breakout above previous highs, it’s likely to continue this pattern. If there’s a clear trend with core arbitrage opportunities, do it; if not, just watch the show.
……………………………………………………………………… 2. Market Review: The index opened lower and declined, with a volume of 24.003 billion. Kinjingda hit the second board immediately, Jinniu Chemical rose three consecutive days, and the chemical sector was strong. Power sector saw two consecutive gains for Goldwind Heavy Industry, showing some persistence in subdivisions. However, high-position stocks like Hanlian Shares and Yunnan Energy Control diverged, causing the index to diverge in the afternoon and overall market to fall back. Hanlian Shares and Yunnan Energy Control hit the limit down, but the impact at lower levels was limited.
Market continued to rotate, but after the index retraced, divergence appeared at high levels. If the Monday loss effect isn’t repaired, the market’s speculative nature diminishes, making arbitrage harder. The balance between profit and loss effects breaks down; if the loss effect expands, the market loses its speculative nature. Next week, avoid expecting large volume bullish candles before they appear. If suitable opportunities arise, do arbitrage; if not, watch the market. Don’t force it—when there’s no profit effect, it’s just money going out.
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3. Hot Stock Comments: Yunnan Energy Control: Negative feedback anchoring. If it closes below the ten-day line on Monday, be cautious.
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4. Market Environment: Profit-making effect: Chemical, wind power, nuclear power Loss effect: Computing power, artificial intelligence, smart grid
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Previous teaching posts (recommended to watch the live replay for better understanding):
Live broadcast essentials - How to act at each cycle node?
Live broadcast essentials - How to quickly analyze and decide within 15 minutes of bidding to open?
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Everyone is welcome to leave comments and share. Thanks to brothers and sisters for likes, tips, and support:
Your recognition is my biggest motivation to share. Thank you all!