Analysis: Bitcoin May Retest $100,000, Macroeconomic Indicators Show Bullish Signals Again

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-03-13T08:51:54+00:00

A macro model combining US-China 10-year Treasury yield spreads is issuing bullish signals that could guide Bitcoin higher. Historical data shows similar signals have previously triggered significant rallies. Whale addresses have recently increased their holdings, and if Bitcoin stabilizes and rebounds, it could potentially break through $100,000. However, traders should remain vigilant against the risk of a "bull trap."

SmartContractAuditor

2026-03-13 08:51:54

Abstract generation in progress

Odaily Planet Daily reports that a macro model combining the US 10-year Treasury yield and the China 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y×CN10Y) has recently generated an “extremely accurate” bullish crossover signal, which may provide guidance for Bitcoin’s next rally. Historical data shows that this indicator has issued similar signals before the bull markets of 2013, 2017, 2020–2021, and 2023, with Bitcoin’s gains reaching approximately 8,700%, 1,900%, 600%, and over 350%, respectively. Additionally, on-chain data indicates that whale addresses (wallets holding 1,000–10,000 BTC) have recently resumed accumulation during the price correction, similar to behavior patterns near previous market bottoms. Analysts believe that if Bitcoin stabilizes around the 200-week moving average and rebounds, the price could test $100,000 around August. However, if it fails to break through the key resistance level of $78,000, there remains a risk of forming a “bull trap.” (Cointelegraph)

BTC2.63%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.