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CITIC Securities: 2026 will be a crucial year for establishing the turning point in the prosperity of the consumer industry
People’s Financial News, March 13 — CITIC Securities research report states that the current consumer market is at a critical window of weak recovery and policy expectation negotiations. Based on marginal improvements in macro data and verification through micro high-frequency data, 2026 is expected to be a key year for establishing a turning point in the consumer industry’s prosperity. Due to the still relatively weak macro environment, the self-repair of consumer prosperity is expected to take time. In the short term, overall beta opportunities can focus on the possibility of fiscal stimulus policies. Currently, consumer investment allocation should follow a conservative yet innovative approach — building a foundation with high dividends and breaking through with resilient growth consumption: on one side, through policy flexibility and wealth effect transmission in sectors like service consumption; on the other side, by constructing defensive core holdings with high dividend assets, while closely monitoring opportunities in catering supply chains, dairy products, and other sectors where prices and quantities are rising as CPI turns positive. For long-term allocation, continued emphasis should be placed on changes in the consumption structure.