Reassessing the US-Iran Conflict: Where Is It Heading? What Is Its Impact on the Global Economy and Asset Prices?

WealthCoffee

2026-03-11 10:13:26

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February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a joint military strike against Iran. Iran subsequently announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz as a strategic countermeasure, directly threatening global energy supplies and causing spillover effects on the global economy and financial markets. As of March 8, the US-Iran military operations have lasted over a week, with the conflict showing signs of escalation and spreading, and the impact on the global economy and financial markets continues.

Two Possible Outcomes of the US-Iran Conflict

Based on the evolving situation, the demands and strengths of both the US and Iran, there are roughly two possible directions for this conflict, each corresponding to different durations, intensities, and scope of impact.

Short-term De-escalation of the Conflict (Ending within 1 Month)

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