(After Non-Farm) Top 10 Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis Reports

I use the Four Grandmasters + Edwards & Magee Chart Patterns + Wilder Indicators + Nison Candlesticks integrated framework to provide each coin:

  • Bullish Score (out of 10) + Core reasons for bullish/bearish outlook
  • Professional Technical Analysis (Dow Theory trend + Wyckoff phases + Elliott Wave structure + Livermore execution)
  • Precise Entry/Exit Points (4H/daily levels, including support/resistance, stop-loss, take-profit)

1. SUI (Sui)

Bullish Score: 6.8/10
Bullish: AI + Layer 1 narrative still ongoing, Wyckoff accumulation phase not broken;
Bearish: Post-NFP volume shrinking, short-term correction with the market.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Main trend still recovering from bear market (big drop from 2025 high), secondary trend shows Higher Low (0.81–0.87 zone).
  • Wyckoff: Late accumulation (Feb low 0.81 Spring fake breakdown then rebound), current volume-price effort matches (pullback with decreasing volume).
  • Wave: From 0.81, small 5-wave rebound, currently in small 4-wave correction (triangle compression), no violation of law.
  • Candles/Indicators: 4H engulfing bearish candle, RSI 38 oversold, MACD histogram narrowing.

Entry/Exit Points

  • Support buy zones: 0.87–0.90 (current + Fibonacci 0.5 + 20MA), staggered entries
  • Stop-loss: below 0.84 (breaks Higher Low, invalidates structure)
  • Take-profit 1: 0.95–0.97 (triangle upper boundary)
  • Take-profit 2: 1.05–1.15 (Fibonacci 1.618 + historical resistance)

2. VIRTUAL (Virtuals Protocol, AI Agent Sector)

Bullish Score: 7.2/10
Bullish: One of the strongest AI narratives, community sentiment rising;
Bearish: Small market cap, high volatility, signs of distribution after NFP.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Independent minor uptrend driven by AI theme.
  • Wyckoff: Transitioning from accumulation to markup (main accumulation at 0.55–0.60), testing supply zone.
  • Wave: Larger Cycle Wave 3 starting, current small 2-wave correction (retracement at 0.618).
  • Candles/Indicators: 4H hammer + volume increase, RSI 45 neutral, ADX trending higher.

Entry/Exit Points

  • Support buy zones: 0.68–0.70 (current + Fibonacci 0.618)
  • Stop-loss: below 0.65 (trendline break)
  • Take-profit 1: 0.85 (previous high)
  • Take-profit 2: 1.00–1.20 (AI bull extension target)

3. BTC (Bitcoin)

Bullish Score: 7.5/10
Bullish: ETF inflows + halving cycle logic long-term valid;
Bearish: Post-NFP dollar strength, short-term correction not over.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Main trend still bullish (2024–2025 confirmed bull), but secondary correction ongoing (from 74k down to 68k).
  • Wyckoff: Markup phase correction (retesting accumulation zone), volume healthy.
  • Wave: Extending Wave 5, currently in Wave 4 correction (not breaking Wave 1 low).
  • Candles/Indicators: 4H bearish engulfing, strong support at 68k, RSI 42 oversold, MACD attempting bullish cross.

Entry/Exit Points (Livermore trend-following)

  • Support buy zones: 68,000–68,500 (current + Fibonacci 0.5 + 200MA)
  • Stop-loss: below 66,500 (key pivot)
  • Take-profit 1: 72,000–73,000 (recent high)
  • Take-profit 2: 78,000–80,000 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension)

4. VVV (Venice Token, Privacy AI)

Bullish Score: 6.5/10
Bullish: Privacy + AI dual narratives, staking demand strong;
Bearish: Circulation unlock pressure + NFP risk aversion.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Following AI sector minor rally.
  • Wyckoff: Distribution completed, new accumulation (main at $5–6).
  • Wave: Correction wave C ended, new wave 1 starting.
  • Candles/Indicators: 4H reversal pattern, RSI 40 oversold.

Entry/Exit Points

  • Support buy zones: $6.00–$6.20 (current + channel lower boundary)
  • Stop-loss: below $5.80
  • Take-profit 1: $7.50
  • Take-profit 2: $9.00–$10.00 (historical extension)

5. NEAR (Near Protocol, AI + Layer 1)

Bullish Score: 7.0/10
Bullish: AI agent ecosystem exploding, high on-chain activity;
Bearish: Short-term market pressure.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Downtrend in correction, in minor rebound.
  • Wyckoff: Accumulation phase (LPS at 1.10–1.20).
  • Wave: New 5-wave impulse underway, small 2-wave correction (retracement at 1.618).
  • Candles/Indicators: Daily hammer, ADX rising.

Entry/Exit Points

  • Support buy zones: 1.20–1.25
  • Stop-loss: below 1.15
  • Take-profit 1: 1.50
  • Take-profit 2: 1.80–2.00

6. DOT (Polkadot) — Continuing 4H analysis from last time

Bullish Score: 6.3/10
Bullish: March tokenomics upgrade (supply cap + 53% inflation cut) catalyst;
Bearish: Triangle consolidation not broken, market drag.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Bearish correction in main trend.
  • Wyckoff: Re-accumulation (Spring at 1.48 confirmed).
  • Wave: Rebound Wave A, small triangle correction.
  • Candles/Indicators: Symmetrical triangle on 4H, MACD choppy, volume shrinking awaiting breakout.

Entry/Exit Points

  • Support buy zones: 1.48–1.50 (current + lower boundary)
  • Stop-loss: below 1.45
  • Take-profit 1: 1.60–1.65 (triangle breakout)
  • Take-profit 2: 1.99–2.20

7. POL (Polygon, MATIC)

Bullish Score: 6.0/10
Bullish: L2 ecosystem stable, institutional interest;
Bearish: Old narrative fatigue, market weak.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Long-term sideways bear correction.
  • Wyckoff: Distribution after accumulation.
  • Wave: Major C wave complete, new impulse wave attempting.
  • Candles/Indicators: Support at 0.10.

Entry/Exit Points

  • Support buy zones: 0.098–0.10
  • Stop-loss: below 0.092
  • Take-profit 1: 0.13
  • Take-profit 2: 0.18–0.20

8. BNB (Binance Coin)

Bullish Score: 7.8/10 (highest, CEX leader resilient)
Bullish: Burn mechanism + ecosystem flow stable, main control;
Bearish: Systemic risks remain.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Following BTC bull trend.
  • Wyckoff: Healthy markup correction.
  • Wave: Wave 3 in progress, retracement at 0.618.
  • Candles/Indicators: RSI 45, volume-price match.

Entry/Exit Points

  • Support: 620–628 (current + Fibonacci)
  • Stop-loss: below 600
  • Take-profit 1: 680–700
  • Take-profit 2: 800–850

Overall Strategy (Livermore style, post-NFP adjustment)

  • Prioritize ETH (30%) + SOL (20%) — strongest catalysts, better resilience.
  • Follow trend: hold longs if BTC >68k; add on breakout above 2050 (ETH) and 88 (SOL).
  • Cut losses immediately if any position breaks ATR stop-loss.
  • Total exposure within 65%, focus on rebound after short-term volatility, especially if BTC holds 68k and AI sector (VIRTUAL, NEAR, VVV) shows independent strength.

ETH & SOL (Post-NFP, 4H deep analysis, latest prices: ETH ~$1,978–1,985, SOL ~$84.3–84.5)

Non-farm data: -92K weaker than expected, strongly bullish (rate cut anticipation), but short-term profit-taking and risk aversion cause correction. Both hold Higher Lows, Wyckoff accumulation ongoing.


9. ETH (Ethereum) — Institutional + Upgrade

Deep 4H analysis (latest prices: ETH ~$1,978–1,985, -6% post-NFP)

  • Bullish: Cycle confirmed for 2024–2025, minor correction not breaking key supports.
  • Wyckoff: Late accumulation → markup transition (NFP correction = secondary LPS test).
  • Wave: Larger Cycle Wave 3 ongoing, small 4-wave correction near 1,980 (precise 0.618 retrace).
  • Candles/Indicators: Long lower shadow hammer + engulfing, RSI 39 oversold, MACD bottom divergence + histogram narrowing, ADX still strong.

Wave Count (strict law)

  • From 1,600 low: small 1,2,3,4 waves, with 5th wave targeting 2,800–3,200 (75% probability).
  • Law compliance: Wave 2 not below Wave 1, Wave 3 not shortest, Wave 4 not intrude Wave 1 zone.
  • Next target: Fibonacci extension 1.618 of Wave 3 = 2,800–3,200.

Wyckoff Event

  • 1,800 = Selling Climax + Spring (fake breakdown).
  • 1,980 = Last Point of Support (LPS), secondary accumulation (volume shrinkage).
  • No Upthrust failure, supply-demand favors markup → bullish window open.

ATR (4H, 14): ~45–52 USD

  • Entry at 1,980: dynamic stop-loss = 1,980 – 1.8×ATR ≈ 1,890 (if broken, invalid).
  • Trailing: each ATR rise moves stop-loss up by 1 ATR.
  • Add positions above 2,050 (end of small 4-wave).

Precise Entry/Exit

  • Support: 1,960–1,985 (current + Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA)
  • Stop-loss: below 1,890
  • Take-profit 1: 2,150–2,200
  • Take-profit 2: 2,600–2,900 (Wave 5 extension)

10. SOL (Solana) — Upgraded + Strong Ecosystem

Bullish Score: 8.8/10 (post-NFP steady, upgrade catalyst intact)

  • Bullish: Alpenglow upgrade + DePIN/meme ecosystem explosion; dominant DEX volume; community AI + L2 hype.
  • Bearish: Short-term market drag, if BTC drops below 68k, beta increases, potential correction to 78.

Technical Analysis

  • Dow: Bullish trend in recovery, secondary higher lows.
  • Wyckoff: Late accumulation → markup (NFP correction = LPS retest).
  • Wave: Cycle Wave 3 in progress, small 4-wave correction near 84.3 (precise 0.618 retrace).
  • Candles/Indicators: 4H hammer + volume decrease, RSI 40 oversold, MACD bullish attempt, ADX rising.

Wave Count (strict law)

  • From 70 low: small 1,2,3,4 waves, target Wave 5 at 105–120 (72% probability).
  • Law: Wave 2 not below Wave 1, Wave 3 not shortest, Wave 4 not intrude Wave 1 zone.

Wyckoff

  • 78 = Selling Climax + Spring.
  • 84.3 = LPS, secondary accumulation.
  • Confirmed in markup phase, best entry window before breakout.

ATR (4H): ~2.7–3.1 USD

  • Entry at 84.4: stop-loss ≈ 79.0 (break below invalidates).
  • Trailing stop as ATR rises.

Entry/Exit

  • Support: 84.0–84.8
  • Stop-loss: below 79.0
  • Take-profit 1: 88–90
  • Take-profit 2: 105–115

Overall Livermore-style post-NFP execution

  • Prioritize ETH (30%) and SOL (20%) — strongest catalysts, best resilience.
  • Maintain trend-following: if BTC >68k, hold longs; add on breakout above 2,050 (ETH) and 88 (SOL).
  • Cut losses immediately if ATR stop-loss hit.
  • Total exposure within 65%, focus on rebound after initial volatility, especially if BTC holds 68k and AI sector (VIRTUAL, NEAR, VVV) shows independent strength.
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