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【2026.3.3】Monthly stable reward task: Break even
The Middle East situation continues to escalate, and today the oil and gas sector directly soared, surpassing everyone. Nothing could withstand the surge of the three major oil companies hitting two consecutive daily limit-ups—what a wild move. The yellow line suddenly plunged off a cliff, and individual stocks suffered heavily.
After panic reached its peak in the early trading session, the index briefly pulled back. But then it became clear that banks and insurance companies were leading the rally, followed by oil and gas, then finance. At that moment, I knew today would inevitably end badly.
Sure enough, in the afternoon, the market intensified its decline, the yellow line continued to hit new lows, and ultimately, the index was dragged down sharply.
This year, I couldn’t avoid the first day of the lunar new year, nor the fifteenth.
【Today’s Operations】
Leike Defense T+
Trading idea: Today, the stock continued to hit the daily limit, facing resistance at the previous high. So before the market opened, I planned to take profits if it broke the limit. I placed a +7 sell order during pre-market, but it just missed executing by one level. During trading, as the stock suddenly dropped, I changed my strategy and followed the decline, quickly jumping in for a T+ trade after seeing some support.
Pingtan Development Profit-taking
Trading idea: This was one of the few stocks in my portfolio that offered a profit opportunity. During the early session, as the yellow line collapsed, Pingtan rose against the trend, indicating it still had defensive properties. However, I was still optimistic about the index’s V-shaped recovery, so during the panic, I watched the intraday straight rally. Once large sell orders appeared, I took profits.
Low-buy Taihao Technology
Trading idea: Initially, I just bought on the first dip to the 10-day moving average, but unexpectedly, it coincided with a major crash day. I added another position in deep water, fully committed.
Low-buy Huasheng Tiancheng
Trading idea: After some thought, I decided to hold some computing power stocks. Buying in during the dip felt like a safe move, a bit of a gamble within a gamble.
Shenjian Co., Ltd. Stop-loss
Trading idea: Today, the stock broke through significantly, leaving no room for hesitation. I cut losses and exited.
【Market Overview】
Apart from the conflict-related concepts, most other sectors were wiped out today. The market was driven purely by quantitative funds switching blindly, making technical analysis useless.
Some stocks still resisted through group support. Regarding sectors, domestic computing power and aerospace couldn’t withstand the heavy selling today, resulting in large downward moves. I remain optimistic about these two sectors, and a single day of decline doesn’t change my view. The key is how they perform over the next two days.
If the overall sector can recover effectively within two days and return to a bullish trend, today’s decline would be an irrational overreaction—a minor correction during an uptrend.
If not, then market sentiment and capital structure will be thoroughly damaged, requiring a reassessment of the main market themes.
The only consolation today is that, although the decline was large, most of it was on reduced volume. We’ll see what tomorrow brings.
【Tomorrow’s Outlook】
Two consecutive days of broad decline have pushed individual stock sentiment to a low point. The oil and gas sector experienced two surges; now, it’s a matter of observing whether some stocks within this sector can recover.
If the recovery is weaker than expected, I will lower my market outlook further and wait for a new cycle.
Thank you for reading. If you found this article helpful, please like and support with tips.
Feel free to leave questions in the comments; I will try to reply when I have time.
See you tomorrow!